Much ado about Huawei (part 2)

  While Huawei itself, as well as its activities in Australia and worldwide, merit detailed scrutiny, the system and conditions within which it operates constitute a deeper source of concern. At present, the Chinese Communist …

The US Russia investigation memos—lessons for Australia

There are crucial lessons for Australia in the way Republican and Democrat members of the US congressional committee that oversees the intelligence agencies have played politics with the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential …

Time for an intelligence ‘consultation board’?

Last year’s national security reforms emphasised the need for greater coordination in national intelligence and domestic security affairs. Given that priority, it’s easy to forget that the 2017 Independent Intelligence Review made a striking recommendation …

The Taiwan Travel Act: a returning contest?

While the 13th National People’s Congress in China earlier this month grabbed international attention—particularly the constitutional amendment eliminating presidential term limits—other important developments in cross-Straits relations also took place. Premier Li Keqiang vowed that there’s …

Much ado about Huawei (part 1)

Huawei has provoked recurrent concerns and generated nearly incessant controversy in recent news cycles. In the US, the potential for Huawei to dominate 5G network services was the implicit justification for the recent presidential order blocking …

The Counterterrorism Yearbook 2018

Three key factors defined the terrorist threat landscape in 2017: the international coalition’s military dismantling of Islamic State’s (IS) caliphate, and their return to a nebulous insurgency structure; increased IS activity in South East Asia …

Australia’s strategic policy: what’s plan B?

There’s a problem now with Australia’s strategic logic. It isn’t a criticism of previous strategic guidance documents that they failed to anticipate seminal events that affected the international environment: the 1991 collapse of the Soviet …

The dilemmas of post-conflict reconstruction

Military engagement and post-conflict reconstruction are impossible to disentangle. Modern firepower means that even short wars can leave widespread devastation—shattered cities and infrastructure, dysfunctional institutions and weakened social and political structures. Also, contemporary warfare rarely …

Putin’s pyrrhic victory

Vladimir Putin’s re-election to a fourth term as Russia’s president was a foregone conclusion. The Kremlin undoubtedly orchestrated ballot-box stuffing and other measures to ensure that Putin received at least 70% of the vote across …

Suharto’s ASEAN versus the ASEAN Community

An Australia fully embracing Southeast Asia will be seeking to join the ASEAN Community, not Suharto’s ASEAN. The glimpse Australia has of its future in Southeast Asia—framed by Indonesia—is the opportunity offered by Jokowi rather …

Liberal world order, RIP

After a run of nearly one thousand years, quipped the French philosopher and writer Voltaire, the fading Holy Roman Empire was neither holy nor Roman nor an empire. Today, some two and a half centuries …

ASPI suggests

The world Donald Trump and Xi Jinping have dominated headlines as the US president is poised to hit China with new trade penalties. A podcast by Brookings claims that these tariffs will backfire, harming US …

South Africa’s enigmatic new leader

Cyril Ramaphosa, the newly elected president of South Africa, likes to describe himself as an enigma. A carefully cultivated aura of mystery surrounds his political beliefs and policy preferences. Ramaphosa’s life is beset by paradox. …