When I look to the west

I had the good fortune to be in Perth last week as a speaker at the WA Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Defence Conference. The ‘take home’ messages of my presentation were: the government has …

Why is assurance in trouble?

US allies around the globe have begun to contemplate a future in which America plays a more restrained role. Here in Australia, we’re acutely conscious of the recent surge of interest in the future of …

The Strategist Six: Patrick M. Cronin

Welcome to The Strategist Six, a feature that provides a glimpse into the thinking of prominent academics, government officials, military officers, reporters and interesting individuals from around the world. 1. Now that China is overtly …

Three cheers for the hegemon!

The Australian government’s linear, one dimensional strategic thinking is again on open and disturbing display. It simply appears to consist of ‘three cheers for the hegemon’! Prime Minister Turnbull recently welcomed the prospect of growing …

Cyber wrap

For the final two cyber wraps of 2016, ICPC will review some of the biggest cyber stories to make headlines over the last twelve months so that we can all laugh, cry and reflect on …

Defence White Papers at 40

While Australia, like the rest of the world, has been trying to assess the implications of the election of Donald J. Trump, we’ve missed some other events or anniversaries that would normally have drawn our …

Trump, ‘One China’ and regional stability

As a number of commentators have observed, the phone call between Taiwanese president Tsai Ing-wen and US president-elect Donald Trump has set a cat among the pigeons. It has breached a practice in place since 1979 …

France and security in the Asia–Pacific

  France’s defence- and security-related activities in the Asia–Pacific are often underestimated, sometimes distorted or simply ignored. The natural focus on the role of major powers in the region—the US, China, India and Japan—causes the …

Alliance legends and lacuna (2)—ANZUS

Australian questions about what Donald Trump will do to the alliance recall Robert Menzies’ fear that ANZUS would be ‘a superstructure on a foundation of jelly’. If Trump has the Oz alliance assumptions quivering, that …

ASPI suggests

While it’s not the end of the world year just yet, most will be pleased to see it roll around. 2016 packed a punch, with some unnerving strategic discontinuities (take your pick but mainly) and …

Aotearoa—the end of the Key era

Change—but no change. John Key’s sudden resignation as Prime Minister has changed the political game in New Zealand but his successor is unlikely to signal a significant shift in foreign and defence policy. National party …

Don’t cry over dead trade agreements

The seven decades since the end of World War II were an era of trade agreements. The world’s major economies were in a perpetual state of trade negotiations, concluding two major global multilateral deals: the …