Russia’s dangerous nuclear consensus

Wagner Group chief Yevgeny Prigozhin’s weekend rebellion has shone a harsh spotlight on the apparently fragile state of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s regime. While Prigozhin soon agreed to stand down and ordered his mercenary army …

Why Thailand’s election outcome matters

The progressive, youth-focused Move Forward party won the most seats of any party in the recent national elections in Thailand and formed a pro-democratic coalition that is seeking to achieve a majority in the parliament …

A very Russian revolution

As the world was distracted by an episode of Russian drama complete with the betrayal of a once-loyal servant, armed mutiny and panic at the court of a tsar, Ukraine was being shelled. On the …

From the bookshelf: ‘The ghost at the feast’

America’s record as an ambivalent and erratic liberal hegemon has deep roots, as analysed by Robert Kagan in The ghost at the feast: America and the collapse of world order, 1900–1941. The book, published in …

Making Japan’s defence spending sustainable

One of the highlights in Japan’s three national security documents released on 16 December 2022—the national security strategy, the national defence strategy and the defence build-up plan—is the commitment to increase defence spending. The defence …

The beginning of the end for Putin?

Danish physicist Nils Bohr once said, ‘Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.’ The insurrection launched by Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin on Saturday lasted a little over 24 hours. But the serious …

India and the US gear up for strategic competition

Last week, Indian Prime Minister Modi and US President Joe Biden declared that the partnership between their countries ‘spans the seas to the stars’. Indeed, Modi’s state visit to Washington yielded initiatives in an extraordinarily …

The five-domains update

Sea state   The UK Ministry of Defence has awarded a 10-year contract worth £270 million to British multinational BAE Systems to support the Royal Navy’s three main radar systems: Artisan, Sampson and Long Range Radar. …

A tale of two invasions

The leader of an authoritarian country with enormous energy reserves builds up his armed forces along the border of a weaker neighbour, one he claims has no right to exist as an independent country. He …

AUKUS needs to focus on critical minerals

Much of the public policy discourse on AUKUS, the security partnership between Australia, the UK and the US, has focused on nuclear-powered submarines (Pillar 1). Far less attention has been paid to Pillar 2, which …