{"id":13857,"date":"2014-05-15T14:35:03","date_gmt":"2014-05-15T04:35:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=13857"},"modified":"2014-05-16T09:05:56","modified_gmt":"2014-05-15T23:05:56","slug":"abe-and-a-resurgent-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/abe-and-a-resurgent-japan\/","title":{"rendered":"Abe and a resurgent Japan"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"The<\/a>Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has chalked up a string of wins lately\u2014all in the field of strategic policy. The visit by President Obama led to a public strengthening of US commitments to defence of the Senkakus; last week\u2019s new formal partnership agreement with NATO<\/a> underlined Tokyo\u2019s continuing shift towards becoming a more \u2018normal\u2019 ally; and the latest moves to reinterpret the collective defence provisions permissible under Article 9 of the Constitution free the hands of Japanese policymakers to explore new forms of strategic engagement with friends and partners. All in all, it\u2019s been a productive few weeks in Japanese strategic policy.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s true, of course, that Obama\u2019s reassuring tones won\u2019t completely assuage Tokyo\u2019s concerns that its ally is playing a smaller role in Asia Pacific security these days. But the Japanese extracted from the president\u2019s visit about as much as could have been reasonably expected. Obama\u2019s reassurance that the Senkakus were covered by Article 5 of the Japan\u2013US Security Treaty<\/a> wasn\u2019t\u2014as some have cast it\u2014a promise to go to war with China. The Treaty is much like ANZUS: it commits the parties to act to meet the common danger if either is attacked, but it doesn\u2019t say how they must act. Nor was Japan looking for such a promise; it wanted a US statement that distinguished between the Senkakus and the various South China Sea disputes, in which the US makes no determination of ownership. That was delivered\u2014and the delivery should give Beijing pause for reflection.<\/p>\n

The partnership agreement signed last week between Japan and NATO during Prime Minister Abe\u2019s visit to Brussels can be seen in a variety of ways. The agreement is Japan\u2019s Individual Partnership and Cooperation Program with NATO. Such agreements were established by the NATO Strategic Concept of 2010, and partners are allowed to tailor their program of cooperation to suit their interests. The formal agreement demonstrates that both partners see benefit in continuing to grow a relationship that dates back to the early 1990s, and already includes a range of practical cooperation in peacebuilding, crisis management, HADR, cyber defence, counterterrorism, nonproliferation, and participation in a range of military activities.<\/p>\n

But there\u2019s a new strategic-level motive for cooperation now: a shared determination to offset authoritarian great powers that are showing a new willingness to indulge in coercion and adventurism. Both Abe and NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen made their positions plain at the joint press conference<\/a>. Rasmussen spoke of new concerns for European security: \u2018Today we are facing the gravest crisis to European security since the end of the Cold War. This crisis has serious implications for the security and stability of the Euro-Atlantic area as a whole\u2019. Where Rasmussen took a European crisis and went west, into the Atlantic, Abe took the same crisis and went east, into East Asia:<\/p>\n

We will not tolerate any change of status quo through intimidation or coercion of force. \u2026 This is not only applicable to Europe or Ukraine. This is applicable to East Asia. And it is applicable to the whole world. This is something that the whole world has to consider.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Japan has long wanted NATO to play a larger role in the unfolding Asian security space, hoping the alliance might diplomatically \u2018lean\u2019 upon China from the west\u2014much as Japan leaned on the Soviet Union from the east in the Cold War days. But that\u2019s not something NATO\u2019s going to be doing anytime soon. The alliance is still struggling to find a good response to Russian adventurism in relation to Ukraine.<\/p>\n

Finally, the issue of collective self-defence has moved another step forward through the maze of Japan\u2019s political system. The Advisory Panel on Reconstruction of the Legal Basis for Security, first established by Abe in April 2007 is due to submit its second report to the Prime Minister today. The report will urge a reinterpretation of Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution to allow for collective self-defence in certain circumstances.<\/p>\n

The right to collective defence is shrouded with a set of conditions<\/a> designed to ensure that the step is seen as an evolutionary rather than a revolutionary change. And Abe is still working to build the level of domestic political consensus<\/a> that would allow the change to be effective. But coming on top of a range of earlier Abe-driven changes\u2014including the establishment of the National Security Council, and the adoption of a National Security Strategy<\/a>\u00a0(PDF), new National Defence Program Guidelines<\/a>\u00a0(PDF), and the Three Principles of the Transfer of Defence Equipment and Technology<\/a>\u00a0(PDF)\u2014the reinterpretation of Article 9 is another sign that Abe\u2019s campaign to make Japan a \u2018normal\u2019 player in the Asia-Pacific is progressing well.<\/p>\n

Rod Lyon is a fellow at ASPI and executive editor of\u00a0<\/em>The Strategist. Image courtesy of NATO<\/a>.<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has chalked up a string of wins lately\u2014all in the field of strategic policy. 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