{"id":29234,"date":"2016-10-21T15:27:14","date_gmt":"2016-10-21T04:27:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=29234"},"modified":"2016-10-21T20:15:18","modified_gmt":"2016-10-21T09:15:18","slug":"aspi-suggests-21oct","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-21oct\/","title":{"rendered":"ASPI suggests"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a1<\/span>Hola, hombres y mujeres!<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

The third presidential debate was probably the last chance for the Trump campaign, which has lurched between deplorable scandals and media misadventures these past few weeks. It was a scrappy affair: Clinton was \u2018<\/span>nasty<\/span><\/a>\u2019 (<\/span>not that that resonates<\/span><\/a>), and Trump a \u2018<\/span>puppet<\/span><\/a>\u2019 (1: <\/span>hmm\u2026<\/span><\/a>; 2: <\/span>some investigative gold<\/span><\/a>). The morning after the night before, Trump generously ventured that <\/span>he\u2019ll accept the election result if he wins<\/span><\/a>, which is the crazy train\u2019s logical next stop after the second debate, where he <\/span>threatened to jail his political opponent<\/span><\/a>. So by now it\u2019s pretty clear that The Donald and the revered tenets of democratic tradition don\u2019t mix. James Fallows\u2019 <\/span>Trump Time Capsule<\/span><\/a> remains a touchstone of sanity, but if that doesn\u2019t touch the sides, <\/span>get loco<\/span><\/a> with a little Weird Al Yankovic<\/span>. <\/span>These are dark days, but <\/span>we\u2019re almost there<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

As\u00a0<\/span>some<\/span><\/a> have already pointed out, it was striking that six+ hours of debate didn\u2019t throw up one question on climate change. <\/span>This long read on the retreat of Greenland\u2019s ice sheet<\/span><\/a> is a haunting reminder of the enormous threat, if ever we needed one.<\/span><\/p>\n

As the battle for Mosul rages, useful reads came from all corners this week: <\/span>The New Yorker<\/span><\/i> (<\/span>on ISIS\u2019s retreat<\/span><\/a>), <\/span>The Atlantic <\/span><\/i>(<\/span>on ISIS\u2019s spin doctors<\/span><\/a>), <\/span>National Geographic<\/span><\/i> (<\/span>an intricate portrait of ISIS\u2019s rule<\/span><\/a>), <\/span>The New York Times<\/span><\/i> (<\/span>which mapped the battle<\/span><\/a>), and <\/span>Bloomberg <\/span><\/i>(<\/span>on live-streaming war<\/span><\/a>).<\/span><\/p>\n

After telling the Chinese media that the Arbitral Tribunal\u2019s South China Sea judgement is \u2018<\/span>just a piece of paper with four corners<\/span><\/a>\u2019, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte this week threw petrol and a match on the Manila\u2013DC relationship by announcing his country\u2019s military and economic separation from the US. He also<\/span> joked<\/span><\/a> (but not really) that he would be \u2018dependent on [China] for a long time\u2019 and that he has <\/span>\u2018realigned\u2019<\/span><\/a> himself with Beijing\u2019s \u2018ideological flow\u2019. While in no way undermining the recklessness of Duterte\u2019s moves,<\/span> a great piece at <\/span>The Economist<\/span><\/i><\/a> questions whether his plan has longevity, while <\/span>a good read at <\/span>The National Interest<\/span><\/i><\/a> weighs some possible options for the US\u2019s next step.<\/span> IISS has also taken a timely squiz at Duterte\u2019s first 100 days in office<\/span><\/a>, which has a slightly different flavour to<\/span> Ambassador Calaguian-Cruz\u2019s piece here at <\/span>The Strategist<\/span><\/i><\/a>.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Let\u2019s kick off our look at fresh research with two offerings from The National Bureau of Asian Research: the first is an<\/span> article on the \u2018strategic collusion\u2019<\/span><\/a> between Russia and China in the Arctic; and the second is NBR\u2019s latest book,<\/span> Strategic Asia 2016-17: Understanding Strategic Cultures in the Asia-Pacific<\/span><\/i><\/a> (the<\/span> executive brief<\/span><\/a> (PDF) is a must read for Asia\u2013Pacific watchers a.k.a everyone). CSIS has started a brand new research program,<\/span> the Aerospace Security Project<\/span><\/a>, <\/span>which will unpack policy debates around the air and space domains.<\/span> The USSC\u2019s latest report<\/span><\/a> (PDF) argues that both Australian and American policymakers need to address \u2018looming risks\u2019 to the bilateral relationship and seek new opportunities to develop its current remit. And finally, <\/span>a new RSIS commentary<\/span><\/a> looks at the extent of the damage done to India\u2019s submarine construction program after the DCNS data leak, and what this means for Australia\u2019s boats.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podcasts<\/b><\/p>\n

As debate continues over the cost of the US Air Force\u2019s proposed ICBMS, <\/span>Arms Control Wonk<\/span><\/i> has released a <\/span>light-hearted podcast<\/span><\/a> (42 mins) that reflects on some of the more amusing basing modes for ICBMs when the question was <\/span>last discussed in the 1980s<\/span><\/a> (PDF)\u2014during peak Cold War paranoia.<\/span><\/p>\n

In the <\/span>latest offering from the CogitAsia podcast series<\/span><\/a> (34 mins), CSIS\u2019s Phuong Nguyen and Perth USAsia Centre\u2019s Natalie Sambhi dive into to the first two years of Indonesian President Joko Widodo\u2019s time in office, paying particular regard to what\u2019s hot and what\u2019s not in Jokowi\u2019s foreign and security policies.<\/span><\/p>\n

Video<\/b><\/p>\n

The Wilson Center\u2019s Robert Litwak released a book (<\/span>download it here<\/span><\/a>) on the likelihood of abuses of nuclear weapons earlier this month, and recently <\/span>sat down for an interview <\/span><\/a>(10 mins) on his latest work, and a framework by which to understand and assess the threat of nuclear terrorism.<\/span><\/p>\n

Events<\/b><\/p>\n

Canberra: India-watchers and civ-mil relations wonks will be treated next week to a lecture from Yale\u2019s Steven Wilkinson on how India kept its military on a short leash in order to protect the country\u2019s democracy. More info is available <\/span>here<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sydney: If you still can\u2019t get enough of the US elections, ANU\u2019s heading northwards on 4 November as part of their National Seminar Series to host a panel discussion on what challenges the President Elect will face in our near neighbourhood before the inauguration. This one will definitely sell out fast, be sure to <\/span>register your attendance here<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a1Hola, hombres y mujeres! The third presidential debate was probably the last chance for the Trump campaign, which has lurched between deplorable scandals and media misadventures these past few weeks. It was a scrappy affair: …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":207,"featured_media":29236,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[52,837,218,1606,1721],"class_list":["post-29234","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-china","tag-isis","tag-middle-east","tag-presidential-election-2016","tag-rodrigo-duterte"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nASPI suggests | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-21oct\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASPI suggests | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00a1Hola, hombres y mujeres! 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