{"id":30272,"date":"2017-01-23T06:00:45","date_gmt":"2017-01-22T19:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=30272"},"modified":"2017-01-23T22:28:29","modified_gmt":"2017-01-23T11:28:29","slug":"trumping-australias-american-alliance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/trumping-australias-american-alliance\/","title":{"rendered":"Trumping Australia\u2019s American alliance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-30273 size-full\" title=\"Image courtesy of Pixabay user fshnextension.\" src=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/quotes-933816_640.jpg\" alt=\"Image courtesy of Pixabay user fshnextension.\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/quotes-933816_640.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/quotes-933816_640-205x154.jpg 205w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Donald Trump will stress test America\u2019s alliance with Australia. He\u2019s going to pressure lots of other areas\u2014the alliance will get its share. Australia will strive to confine disagreements. Canberra wants differences to be matters of degree, not division. Heaven forbid clashing core interests test alliance fundamentals. As ever, Australia will cling to the alliance. But Trumpism will push limits and unbalance assumptions. The 45th President promises to test purposes, and that might just go to questions of principle. Heaven forbid.<\/p>\n<p>As the roller coaster is inaugurated, this is the perfect moment for a book <em>entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mup.com.au\/items\/198597\" target=\"_blank\">Australia\u2019s American Alliance<\/a><\/em>, the second in MUP\u2019s Defence series from the ANU\u2019s Strategic and Defence Studies Centre. The blurbage is strong with this one. John Howard calls it a \u2018detailed analysis of a relationship of enduring importance\u2019. One of Canberra\u2019s wise owls, Allan Gyngell, goes bigger: \u2018No book I know comes closer to illuminating the mysteries and identifying the challenges of Australia\u2019s most important external relationship.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Based on a <a href=\"https:\/\/history.state.gov\/milestones\/1945-1952\/anzus\" target=\"_blank\">treaty<\/a> that had its 66th birthday in September, the alliance\u2019s endurance is built on adaptability. Trump will test that resilience. Australia, though, has worried about US reliability and commitment for all 66 years. As Stephan Fruhling notes, Australia learned to live with a great ally that was \u2018often fickle in its strategic attentions\u2019. Today, the US focuses on where Australia lives. We got what we wished for. Fruhling summarises the new era\u2019s challenges:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Can Australia be more successful than in the past in using its geographic position to influence the US?<\/li>\n<li>Must Australia embrace greater political-military institutionalisation of the alliance?<\/li>\n<li>Does Australia want to bind itself ever-closer to US strategic commitments in the region?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Australia once fretted that ANZUS didn\u2019t match the commitments of NATO. The change in Canberra thinking long preceded Trump\u2019s blasts at NATO free riders. Andrew Carr sees an alliance role reversal. The \u2018open and informal structure of ANZUS\u2019 was \u2018created to preserve US freedom of action\u2019. Today, it\u2019s Australia that worries about \u2018burdens and entanglement\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>The obsessive gaze Australia long bestowed on the US\u2014the bilateral blinkers\u2014broadens. Now, Canberra worries about what the alliance means for Australia in Asia. The endurance of the alliance, Carr states, will rest on Australia\u2019s \u2018ultimate judgement\u2019 about the US as a \u2018long-term Asia-Pacific power\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/not-trans-not-pacific-not-partnership\/\" target=\"_blank\">trashing of the Trans-Pacific Partnership<\/a> shows the clashing orbits of economic world and security world\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/security-economic-worlds-collide-dfat-white-paper\/\" target=\"_blank\">Ecworld versus SecWorld<\/a>. Looking from EcWorld, Amy King starts with the insight of another Canberra wise owl, Stuart Harris. Since WW2 the US and Oz have agreed on the principles of the international economic order; in practice, they\u2019ve \u2018frequent bilateral conflict within those principles\u2019. Hello, Donald!<\/p>\n<p>King concludes that Australia can\u2019t run an economic policy narrowly based on its alliance, and must seek EcWorld-SecWorld alignment:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Keeping the US engaged in Asia<\/li>\n<li>Managing the \u2018order transition\u2019 of China\u2019s economic rise<\/li>\n<li>Maintaining the open, liberal, non-discriminatory order that most benefits Australian trade<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These are among the six chapters in the book\u2019s first two sections on strategic policy. Part III on \u2018Mechanics of alliance cooperation\u2019 illuminates the entrails, with John Blaxland (military cooperation), James Goldrick (interoperability), Michael Wesley (intelligence), and Richard Brabin-Smith (kit and capability).<\/p>\n<p>Wesley on the \u2018unprecedented intelligence intimacy\u2019\u2014intelligence as the \u2018strategic essence\u2019 of the alliance, as Des Ball put it\u2014and Brab Smith on \u2018the US command of the application of science and technology to warfare\u2019, offer rich accounts of what Australia gets from the alliance. The science and the gear and the intelligence are as important as the Marines. The ties bind in myriad ways.<\/p>\n<p>The final chapters\u2014Part IV on \u2018Managing trade-offs\u2019\u2014consist of Kim Beazley (what the alliance means for Oz sovereignty), Peter Dean (Oz strategic culture and way of war), and Brendan Taylor (Australia and the US in Asia). Each is strong; Beazley hits it out of the park.<\/p>\n<p>Beazley starts with the paradox that the alliance today \u2018involves a more intense relationship than it did when the Berlin Wall came down and the Cold War ended\u2019. He believes that \u2018depth and robustness\u2019 is based on a calculation of the alliance\u2019s value to Australia\u2019s ultimate security. Beazley\u2019s analysis suggests the alliance is Trump-proof (my term, not his).<\/p>\n<p>Beazley emphasises the 21st Century \u2018development of a seamless interconnection\u2019 between Australia\u2013US military and intelligence services: \u2018The depth of that connection has the capacity to endure through potentially sharp shifts in the orientation of future administrations. It is our version of a \u201cdeep state\u201d without the sinister attributes applicable to the military and intelligence establishment in authoritarian regimes.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Serving the deep state as Australia\u2019s previous ambassador to Washington, Beazley records how the embassy manages 400 military purchase projects. Each working day Australia spends $13 million on American defence industry products. What that buys is displayed in the air defence system for Australia\u2019s approaches: \u2018the best we have had,\u2019 Beazley argues, \u2018and it is regionally decisive\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>Australia used to think about interoperability. Now, Beazley writes, the US talks force integration: \u2018The trajectory of our mutual military collaboration will challenge thinking about Australian sovereignty.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>The challenge now has a president. Trump will force Australia to look hard at our prized possession.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump will stress test America\u2019s alliance with Australia. He\u2019s going to pressure lots of other areas\u2014the alliance will get its share. Australia will strive to confine disagreements. Canberra wants differences to be matters of &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":30273,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[40,131,1428,31],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Trumping Australia\u2019s American alliance | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/trumping-australias-american-alliance\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trumping Australia\u2019s American alliance | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Donald Trump will stress test America\u2019s alliance with Australia. 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