{"id":33364,"date":"2017-08-04T15:24:28","date_gmt":"2017-08-04T05:24:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=33364"},"modified":"2017-08-06T08:52:51","modified_gmt":"2017-08-05T22:52:51","slug":"aspi-suggests-53","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-53\/","title":{"rendered":"ASPI suggests"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/figure>\n

Welcome back to ASPI suggests. This week\u2019s unsolicited advice is to never use all your A-material on the first<\/a> try\u2014just in case you\u2019re invited to perform once again.<\/p>\n

On Monday, North Korea test-launched a second intercontinental ballistic missile, just three weeks after the first. I\u2019m not going to delve into the technical aspects here\u2014but you should<\/a>. Suffice it to say that the missile demonstrated two things: longer range and technical improvements. Expert commentary has paid special attention to the re-entry vehicle<\/a>, which may have been experimentally light<\/a>, which probably explains the longer range (thankfully, that part makes sense to those of us with a science education that only goes to high-school physics).<\/p>\n

The fallout (pun intended) has been extensive: South Korea\u2019s new president, Moon Jae-in, has reversed his position<\/a> on the deployment of an American THAAD missile defence system on South Korean soil. Moon suspended the deployment of THAAD back in early June<\/a> as part of a concerted effort to strike a softer tone<\/a> on relations with North Korea and repair the relationship with Beijing. But Monday\u2019s launch brings the total number<\/a> of North Korean missile tests this year to 12, which makes a pretty credible case<\/a> for missile defence. And it\u2019s not just the<\/a> South Koreans talking about<\/a> ballistic missile defence\u2014it\u2019s us, too (this Strategist<\/em> piece<\/a> from early July is a great way to read yourself in).<\/p>\n

There\u2019s some fresh analysis on the Hermit Kingdom coming out, too. Carnegie\u2019s Jon Wolfsthal is saying we should \u2018give up on denuclearizing North Korea<\/a>\u2019 and focus on deterrence. And a piece at 38 North says we should be cautious about contemplating \u2018regime change<\/a>\u2019 in North Korea, citing a better-the-devil-you-know line of reasoning. That\u2019s certainly more sophisticated analysis than we\u2019re seeing from Philippines president Duterte, who called Kim Jong-un<\/a> a \u2018chubby\u2019 SOB this week.<\/p>\n

In other Southeast Asia news, this coming Tuesday is the 50th anniversary of ASEAN<\/a> (how\u2019s that for a segue?). You\u2019re going to see plenty of content here at The Strategist<\/em><\/a> on that subject, but it\u2019s a good opportunity to share some recent news and analysis about our near neighbours.<\/p>\n

Continuing violence in Mindanao is driving regional collaboration<\/a> on ISIS-linked extremism<\/a>; Attorney-General George Brandis met with representatives<\/a> from Indonesia, Brunei, Malaysia, New Zealand and the Philippines to discuss a variety of terrorism-related matters last weekend, with a special focus on managing the return of foreign fighters<\/a> from the Middle East.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Singapore has opened a new military training facility<\/a>, the Island Defense Training Institute, which will focus on homeland defence and island defence\u2014clearly a convergence of priorities for the island nation. The Singaporeans have also recently wrapped up a big joint land exercise<\/a> with the US Army, Tiger Balm 2017 (make your own jokes<\/a>, if you so desire).<\/p>\n

Last on the ASEAN side of things, US secretary of state Rex Tillerson will be arriving in the region this weekend<\/a>, and you can get a good summary of the likely outcomes at The Diplomat<\/a><\/em>, courtesy of Prashanth Parameswaran.<\/p>\n

For your weekly research and long-read fixes, may I suggest a six-part series from Brookings<\/a> about the current challenges to the US foreign aid program. The briefs cover multiple angles, including the trials of delivering foreign aid to violent regions, multilateral cooperation, and the potential impacts of Donald Trump\u2019s \u2018America First\u2019 policy.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s also a compelling essay in the Financial Times<\/em>, called \u2018Syria: a tale of three cities<\/a>\u2019, which looks at the impacts of the ongoing civil war on the cities\u2019 populations. If you need a lighthearted read this week (maybe immediately after reading that Syria piece), check out the story of how Pakistan\u2019s now-ex-PM, Nawaz Sharif, was caught lying thanks to a Microsoft font<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Podcasts<\/em><\/p>\n

This week\u2019s CSIS Smart Women, Smart Power<\/a> podcast features a discussion with AT&T vice president Jill Singer about \u2018the internet of things\u2019, privacy and policy. (That\u2019s the kind of discussion we at ASPI are trying to help foster in Australia, too: we hosted NSA director Admiral Mike Rogers<\/a> on Monday night and launched a new publication on big data in national security<\/a> this week). If you\u2019re still interested in the nitty-gritty of cyber norms after the above, look no further than The Strategy Bridge<\/em> for some analysis of the Ise-Shima variety<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Did you know the International Spy Museum has a podcast? It\u2019s aptly named Spycast. The latest episode<\/a> is an interview with former CIA analyst and author Melvin Goodman about his life in intelligence and his most recent book, A whistleblower at the CIA<\/em>.<\/p>\n

Video<\/em><\/p>\n

This one\u2019s not exactly a video, but an interactive introduction to game theory<\/a> that you can play in your web browser. The creators recommend setting aside about 30 minutes to get the full experience.<\/p>\n

Who has honestly never wanted to be an action hero? How can we then blame Turkmenistan\u2019s president Gurbanguly Berdymukhametov for taking the opportunity to have a video made<\/a> of him shooting targets and calling in helicopter strikes? If the intro looks familiar, that\u2019s because an opposition website edited in scenes from the classic 1985 Schwarzenegger action flick Commando<\/em>. (3 mins)<\/p>\n

Events<\/em><\/p>\n

Sydney: The Lowy Institute will host an evening discussion<\/a> on 14 August with Prime Minister Monasseh Sogavare of Solomon Islands on the legacy of RAMSI and the future of Solomon Islands.<\/p>\n

Multiple locations: It\u2019s not often we share an event exclusively for high-schoolers, but I\u2019m sure many Strategist<\/em> readers have teenage children who love everything to do with space. While the events don\u2019t start until mid-September, expect registrations for the UN Youth Australia Space Summit<\/a> across the country to fill up quickly (students years 9\u201312).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Welcome back to ASPI suggests. This week\u2019s unsolicited advice is to never use all your A-material on the first try\u2014just in case you\u2019re invited to perform once again. On Monday, North Korea test-launched a second …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":392,"featured_media":33366,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[86,25,274],"class_list":["post-33364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-north-korea","tag-southeast-asia","tag-syria"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nASPI suggests | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-53\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASPI suggests | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Welcome back to ASPI suggests. 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