{"id":42010,"date":"2018-09-13T11:53:46","date_gmt":"2018-09-13T01:53:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=42010"},"modified":"2018-09-13T11:54:19","modified_gmt":"2018-09-13T01:54:19","slug":"vostok-2018-sending-a-powerful-message-to-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/vostok-2018-sending-a-powerful-message-to-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"Vostok 2018: sending a powerful message to NATO and its partners"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/figure>\n

The Russian Federation is undertaking the biggest military exercise in its history, Vostok 2018 (East 2018). These large exercises are held each year, focusing on one region in the country. Last year\u2019s Zapad (West) war games caused concern among NATO members and other European countries that Russian troops were practising for a large-scale attack on them.<\/p>\n

Observers were also alarmed by the significant number of troops exercising on the territory of Belarus, which borders three NATO members, fearing that they wouldn\u2019t leave after Zapad ended. Poland and the Baltic States have been particularly worried about Russia attacking them directly. A prior iteration of Zapad had indeed concluded with a simulated nuclear attack on Warsaw.<\/p>\n

Fast-forward to this year, and it\u2019s the eastern military district\u2019s turn. Around 300,000 Russian troops will be in Eastern Siberia until 17 September. Valery Gerasimov, chief of the general staff, says<\/a> the drills aim to assess the military\u2019s readiness for ground, air and naval operations\u2014which is why more than 1,000 planes, helicopters and drones will join around 80 ships and 36,000 tanks and other vehicles in the exercise.<\/p>\n

Vostok 2018 is also notable because it\u2019s the first time that Russia has invited China to participate in a strategic-level exercise. More than 3,000 soldiers<\/a> from the People\u2019s Liberation Army and equipment and personnel from the country\u2019s air force were sent north. A small contingent of Mongolian troops has also joined the drills.<\/p>\n

The US and its NATO allies will be following Vostok 2018 closely. China\u2019s participation highlights the significant transformation in Chinese\u2013Russian relations that has occurred over the past decade. Dmitri Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, wrote<\/a> on Twitter that the military exercise is sending a message to the US (and the rest of the world) that China and Russia have never been closer, and that Russia is now considering China as a potential ally.<\/p>\n

The China\u2013Russia relationship has come a long way since the Cold War, when it was dominated by the Sino-Soviet border conflict and Russia considered China a significant threat to its national security. Now President Vladimir Putin says the countries have a \u2018trusting relationship<\/a>\u2019 and President Xi Jinping is promising to \u2018push the China\u2013Russia relationship to new heights<\/a>\u2019.<\/p>\n

The strategic partnership serves both countries\u2019 interests. Russia has been increasingly seeking to collaborate with China to advance the two countries\u2019 positions on the world stage, and especially to send a message to the US. At the same time, the Kremlin is well aware of the Russian economy\u2019s overreliance on China, which has increased since the illegal annexation of Crimea in 2014 and Russia\u2019s subsequent rift with Europe (and its markets).<\/p>\n

Russia has been trying for a while to diversify its economic engagement\u2014especially across the Asia\u2013Pacific\u2014to avoid being overly dependent on China, but progress has been slow. It comes in handy, then, that Vostok 2018 is taking place at the same time as the Eastern Economic Forum<\/a> in Vladivostok, which aims to attract business and industry investors from the Asia\u2013Pacific. Not only is Xi attending (after observing the Vostok drills alongside Putin), but Japan\u2019s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has also travelled to the Russian Far East.<\/p>\n

The main hurdle to closer Japan\u2013Russia relations has been the territorial dispute around the Kuril Islands. Abe met<\/a> with Putin ahead of the Eastern Economic Forum and the pair agreed on an action plan for joint economic collaboration in the islands, even without a legal solution to the dispute. Moscow and Tokyo also agreed to work towards closer defence cooperation. Both sides aim to resolve their territorial disputes and sign a peace treaty to formally end World War II, allowing even more collaboration.<\/p>\n

Both developments\u2014a China\u2013Russia relationship that appears to be stronger than ever and the possibility of closer Japan\u2013Russia defence ties\u2014will be monitored with interest across the region and beyond. These changes could have a substantial impact on the power balance in the Asia\u2013Pacific\u2014the backyard of countries including the US and Australia.<\/p>\n

Japan\u2019s moves are particularly significant, given its oft-cited status as a like-minded partner of Washington and Canberra. Australia\u2019s continued engagement in the region, especially deepening cooperation with Japan, South Korea and countries in Southeast Asia, will be vital to ensuring that its interests are safeguarded in the changing strategic environment.<\/p>\n

Even though China and Russia haven\u2019t formed an official alliance yet, the potential for such a relationship has been demonstrated through the joint exercise. This factor needs to feature in future Australian defence planning.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Russian Federation is undertaking the biggest military exercise in its history, Vostok 2018 (East 2018). These large exercises are held each year, focusing on one region in the country. Last year\u2019s Zapad (West) war …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":679,"featured_media":42011,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[143,52,51,163,744],"class_list":["post-42010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-asia-pacific","tag-china","tag-defence-cooperation","tag-russia","tag-vladimir-putin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nVostok 2018: sending a powerful message to NATO and its partners | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/vostok-2018-sending-a-powerful-message-to-nato\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Vostok 2018: sending a powerful message to NATO and its partners | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Russian Federation is undertaking the biggest military exercise in its history, Vostok 2018 (East 2018). 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