{"id":44859,"date":"2019-01-17T06:00:15","date_gmt":"2019-01-16T19:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=44859"},"modified":"2022-06-24T17:00:08","modified_gmt":"2022-06-24T07:00:08","slug":"the-1996-1997-cabinet-papers-hopes-and-hazards-for-australia-and-india-part-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-1996-1997-cabinet-papers-hopes-and-hazards-for-australia-and-india-part-1\/","title":{"rendered":"The 1996\u20131997 cabinet papers: hopes and hazards for Australia and India (part 1)"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/figure>\n

When the Australian polity talks about relations with India, there\u2019s always a wistful bit about the great possibilities and how little has been achieved.<\/p>\n

The sense of regret requires ignoring a lot of history. It\u2019s not that India and Australia don\u2019t see each other. It\u2019s how they see and what they want that differ so much.<\/p>\n

Many policy strains define the wistful refrains. Differences have outweighed the possibilities. Elephant and kangaroo are a mismatched pair.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s a fine example of the perennial puzzlements from former prime minister Kevin Rudd\u2019s 2018 memoir<\/a>: \u2018The entire history of the Australia\u2013India relationship had been one of unfulfilled expectations.\u2019<\/p>\n

Skipping back a couple of decades, here\u2019s another bit on the Oz\u2013India puzzles and pitfalls, from 1996: \u2018In the past, Australia-India relations have been sporadic and insubstantial.\u2019<\/p>\n

That judgement is contained in a cabinet submission to the Howard government in October 1996 by the foreign minister, Alexander Downer, and the trade minister, Tim Fischer. How Australia saw India, via the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, is here<\/a> among the 1996 and 1997 cabinet records just released by the National Archives of Australia.<\/p>\n

In its first year in office, the Howard government was peering into the future and casting around for new stuff to do. And like so many before it, it \u2018discovered\u2019 India.<\/p>\n

Every Australian leader since Gough Whitlam has \u2018discovered\u2019 India, as Meg Gurry<\/a> records in wonderful detail in her history of the relationship. And that journey of discovery has often been one of disappointment and frustration.<\/p>\n

The 1996 submission is a fine example of the discovery genre, giving an implicit guide to the usual strains.<\/p>\n

As an example of the \u2018how they see\u2019 issue, here\u2019s the DFAT version of what India would see as its history of independence and non-alignment: \u2018For over forty years India isolated itself through autarky and its close economic and strategic relationship with the former USSR. With its closed, highly-regulated and low-growth economy, India fell further and further behind its East Asian partners throughout the 1960s, 70s and 80s.\u2019<\/p>\n

And India\u2019s view of Australia as an American stooge? DFAT preferred the slightly less insulting word \u2018proxy\u2019 in the discussion of strategic interests:<\/p>\n

India is the only country in the South Asia sub-region with a medium to long term capacity to affect our security and economic interests. Clearly, India has an importance for us that its South Asian neighbours do not, and our de-linking of India from Pakistan (and others in region) in government considerations reflects this reality. In the past, Australia-India relations have been sporadic and insubstantial. Today, the relationship offers greater potential benefits and with the exception of our differences over nuclear proliferation and the CTBT [Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty] issue, there are no significant negatives\u2014an assessment we consider is shared by the Indians\u2014although the image of Australia as a United States proxy is still widely held in Indian official circles.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

India had \u2018pretensions to global power status\u2019, while still believing its size and importance were insufficiently acknowledged: \u2018Strategically, India feels threatened by China and sees itself as a potential counterweight to China\u2014an ambition, however, that must remain a long-term one requiring a much greater allocation of resources for defence than the country can currently afford.\u2019<\/p>\n

The submission noted that India \u2018felt keenly\u2019 its non-membership of key Asia\u2013Pacific regional institutions, having just joined the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF), but been snubbed by APEC:<\/p>\n

Not all India\u2019s prospective East Asian partners are fully comfortable with its claims to membership of the region. India\u2019s uncertain nuclear intentions and its vexed relations with Pakistan are a cause of concern. Its assertive and sometimes difficult behaviour in international bodies is often resented. The ARF countries are wary of importing South Asian conflicts that might erode its focus on key Asia Pacific security issues. Also, India\u2019s limited understanding of the dynamics of the Asia Pacific and its conservatism on many multilateral economic issues do not sit easily with APEC\u2019s goals. The process of liberalisation of India\u2019s economy has a long way yet to go to meet the expectations of its Asia Pacific partners.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Having set the scene, Downer and Fischer\u2019s cabinet submission then grappled with India\u2019s demand to join APEC. The ensuing battle between DFAT and the prime minister\u2019s department over India and APEC tells much about the disappointment side of the discovery ledger. Tune in to the next column for all that and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

When the Australian polity talks about relations with India, there\u2019s always a wistful bit about the great possibilities and how little has been achieved. The sense of regret requires ignoring a lot of history. It\u2019s …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":44862,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[17,3309,571,69,509],"class_list":["post-44859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-australia","tag-australia-india-relations","tag-cabinet","tag-india","tag-john-howard"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe 1996\u20131997 cabinet papers: hopes and hazards for Australia and India (part 1) | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-1996-1997-cabinet-papers-hopes-and-hazards-for-australia-and-india-part-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The 1996\u20131997 cabinet papers: hopes and hazards for Australia and India (part 1) | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"When the Australian polity talks about relations with India, there\u2019s always a wistful bit about the great possibilities and how little has been achieved. 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