{"id":46902,"date":"2019-04-12T15:16:51","date_gmt":"2019-04-12T05:16:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=46902"},"modified":"2019-04-12T15:16:51","modified_gmt":"2019-04-12T05:16:51","slug":"aspi-suggests-125","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/","title":{"rendered":"ASPI suggests"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/figure>\n

The world<\/strong><\/p>\n

Australia\u2019s phoney election campaign has finally turned into the real thing. Voters will head to the polls on 18 May\u2014joining the citizens of a number of countries that are holding elections now or soon. This analysis<\/a> in the Sydney Morning Herald<\/em> frames the contest as the second time in a decade that Australians seem set to remove the government despite being less than enthusiastic about the opposition. Perhaps the line of the campaign so far has come from Peter Hartcher, who boiled Scott Morrison versus Bill Shorten down to<\/a> \u2018a contest between an angry dad figure in a baseball cap and a sad sack who looks like he learned public speaking at a funeral parlour\u2019. Exciting times ahead!<\/p>\n

If you really want to get into the nitty gritty of seat-by-seat breakdowns, margins and other electoral data (who doesn\u2019t?), check out the swing calculator<\/a> and A\u2013Z electorate list<\/a> from ABC election analyst Antony Green.<\/p>\n

Polls are already open in the world\u2019s largest democracy. The first of seven phases of voting is underway in the Indian elections, which will run until 19 May. See this<\/a> Al Jazeera explainer for a breakdown of everything you need to know about the system and the choices India\u2019s 900 million eligible voters face.<\/p>\n

The results are in in Israel, where Benjamin Netanyahu has, um, netted another term in office. See former Israeli foreign minister Shlomo Ben-Ami<\/a> for why the result \u2018amounts to a monumental indictment of Israel\u2019s democracy\u2019.<\/p>\n

And what would talk of elections be without talk of election interference? The BBC<\/a> has investigated the presence of Russian \u2018tourists\u2019 and \u2018observers\u2019 in Madagascar before presidential elections there last year. See the full documentary here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Following the 16th anniversary of the invasion of Iraq last month, this National Interest<\/em><\/a> piece identifies the areas in which the US hasn\u2019t made a difference. According to Bloomberg<\/a>, the US campaign hasn\u2019t affected Iraq\u2019s oil production, though Iraq is now challenging Saudi Arabia\u2019s global dominance of OPEC.<\/p>\n

In Afghanistan, peace could be just around the corner. Writing in the Australian Financial Review<\/em><\/a>, Ahmed Rashid gives US President Donald Trump credit for starting the ongoing peace talks there. This article by Angelina Jolie<\/a> for Time<\/em> highlights the importance of including women in the Afghan peace process.<\/p>\n

Over a million Rohingya refugees have fled to Bangladesh since 2017, where they often face poor living conditions and limited access to safe drinking water and food. ASPI\u2019s Elise Thomas<\/a> has provided some excellent insights into the Bangladeshi plan to resettle over 100,000 refugees onto a silt island that is often struck by cyclones. Despite Bangladesh looking for ways to halt the influx, NPR<\/a> highlights that they are there to stay. And see these UNHCR pieces (here<\/a> and here<\/a>) to see how refugees are being empowered as they help prepare for Bangladesh\u2019s cyclone season.<\/p>\n

Moving to Europe, The Economist<\/em><\/a> describes Europe\u2019s move towards a more \u2018protective\u2019 continent, and \u00a0Chatham House<\/a> has the details of Trump\u2019s impact on the future of EU\u2013US trade. Time<\/em><\/a> examines the growth of the nationalist movement across Europe, which is threatening the EU and gaining traction despite the continent\u2019s history. On a different note, see Forbes<\/em><\/a> for a look into how Europe is tackling the ethical questions of artificial intelligence. And it would be remiss of us not to mention Europe\u2019s latest chapter in the thrilling page-turner, There and back again: a Brexit tale<\/em>. The BBC<\/a> has the details of the new Brexit deadline of 31 October. Tony Blair\u2019s former communications boss Alastair Campbell says<\/a> he hopes that the extension will provide enough time for another referendum.<\/p>\n

In other news, Julian Assange has been arrested<\/a> in London after Ecuador withdrew its asylum of the Australian WikiLeaks founder. See Foreign Policy<\/em><\/a> for more details.<\/p>\n

Tech geek<\/strong><\/p>\n

This week in the US, the annual Space Symposium is underway, with important announcements about the US space force<\/a>, the accelerated return to the moon<\/a>, and the expansion<\/a> of Australia\u2019s emerging space sector. The symposium coincided with big news, including the historic first image of a black hole<\/a>, the second successful launch of SpaceX\u2019s Falcon Heavy<\/a> booster rocket, and the unsuccessful landing of an Israeli probe<\/a> on the moon.<\/p>\n

The US Navy seems to be overcoming the debilitating lack of readiness of its fighter force with better availability of its F-35C and F\/A-18E\/F jets. See Breaking Defense<\/em><\/a> for analysis of this positive development. But the bad news is that Japan\u2019s Air Self Defense Force has lost<\/a> an F-35A over the Pacific and its entire F-35 fleet has been grounded.<\/p>\n

Russia may be planning to sell<\/a> an export variant of its Su-57 to China in spite of the numerous technical problems the aircraft currently faces. Sputnik<\/em><\/a> claims the \u2018Su-57E\u2019 may be offered to Turkey, as Ankara\u2019s purchase of the US F-35A falls apart.<\/p>\n

Proving that the days of showing the flag at sea are definitely not over, the US Navy sent a message to China by sailing USS Wasp<\/em><\/a>, loaded with F-35Bs, near Scarborough Shoal, a reef controlled by China but claimed by the Philippines.<\/p>\n

This week in history<\/strong><\/p>\n

This week in 1917, the United States entered World War I following events including the sinking of a passenger ship<\/a>, the Lusitania<\/em>, by a German U-boat and the interception of the Zimmerman telegram.<\/a> The US mobilised more than 4 million soldiers and provided supplies, arms and ammunition to the Allies.<\/p>\n

Multimedia<\/strong><\/p>\n

Al Jazeera<\/a> has a great photo series showing the protestors in Sudan who have broken the military curfew over the past few months to protest President Omar al-Bashir\u2019s rule and, last night, celebrate his removal from power.<\/p>\n

ABC\u2019s Foreign Correspondent<\/em><\/a> investigates the \u2018Trump of the tropics\u2019, Brazil\u2019s new president, Jair Bolsonaro. [30:18]<\/p>\n

Podcasts<\/strong><\/p>\n

Arms Control Wonk<\/em><\/a> discusses the overreaction to Saudi Arabia\u2019s nuclear news and what exactly it entails. [41:44]<\/p>\n

So-called grey-zone operations are becoming a part of day-to-day life in many countries. War Studies<\/em><\/a> examines what hybrid warfare really is and the role of information in modern conflicts. [33:36]<\/p>\n

Social media is affecting most aspects of everyday life, including the shape of leadership. World Affairs<\/em><\/a> dives into how politics is transforming thanks to the internet. [59:01]<\/p>\n

Events<\/strong><\/p>\n

Sydney, 16 April, 6\u20137.30 pm, Australian Institute of International Affairs: \u2018Is peace possible in Afghanistan?\u2019 Tickets here<\/a> ($25).<\/p>\n

Canberra, 17 April, 6.30\u20138 pm, Australian National University: \u2018The state of Australian politics\u2019. Register here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Melbourne, 17 April, 6.30\u20137.30 pm, University of Melbourne: \u2018The complex international and domestic economics of climate change\u2019. Book here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The world Australia\u2019s phoney election campaign has finally turned into the real thing. Voters will head to the polls on 18 May\u2014joining the citizens of a number of countries that are holding elections now or …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":777,"featured_media":46905,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[106,83,1025,271,1640],"class_list":["post-46902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-democracy","tag-elections","tag-european-union","tag-f-35","tag-space"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nASPI suggests | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASPI suggests | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The world Australia\u2019s phoney election campaign has finally turned into the real thing. Voters will head to the polls on 18 May\u2014joining the citizens of a number of countries that are holding elections now or ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ASPI.org\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-04-12T05:16:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/28335771782_8919dcbe91_z.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"360\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"James Brorson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ASPI_org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ASPI_org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"James Brorson\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/\",\"name\":\"The Strategist\",\"description\":\"ASPI's analysis and commentary site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/28335771782_8919dcbe91_z.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/28335771782_8919dcbe91_z.jpg\",\"width\":640,\"height\":360},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/\",\"name\":\"ASPI suggests | The Strategist\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2019-04-12T05:16:51+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-04-12T05:16:51+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/9b33d7c39c1ead55d3fda7d21fddd6f8\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ASPI suggests\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/9b33d7c39c1ead55d3fda7d21fddd6f8\",\"name\":\"James Brorson\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/03be43af8fd854405dd2b8cd55ff6fcd?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/03be43af8fd854405dd2b8cd55ff6fcd?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"James Brorson\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/author\/james-brorson\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"ASPI suggests | The Strategist","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"ASPI suggests | The Strategist","og_description":"The world Australia\u2019s phoney election campaign has finally turned into the real thing. Voters will head to the polls on 18 May\u2014joining the citizens of a number of countries that are holding elections now or ...","og_url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/","og_site_name":"The Strategist","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ASPI.org","article_published_time":"2019-04-12T05:16:51+00:00","og_image":[{"width":640,"height":360,"url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/28335771782_8919dcbe91_z.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"James Brorson","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@ASPI_org","twitter_site":"@ASPI_org","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"James Brorson","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/","name":"The Strategist","description":"ASPI's analysis and commentary site","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-AU"},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-AU","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/28335771782_8919dcbe91_z.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/28335771782_8919dcbe91_z.jpg","width":640,"height":360},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/","url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/","name":"ASPI suggests | The Strategist","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/#primaryimage"},"datePublished":"2019-04-12T05:16:51+00:00","dateModified":"2019-04-12T05:16:51+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/9b33d7c39c1ead55d3fda7d21fddd6f8"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-AU","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-125\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"ASPI suggests"}]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/9b33d7c39c1ead55d3fda7d21fddd6f8","name":"James Brorson","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-AU","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/03be43af8fd854405dd2b8cd55ff6fcd?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/03be43af8fd854405dd2b8cd55ff6fcd?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"James Brorson"},"url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/author\/james-brorson\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46902"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/777"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46902"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46902\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46911,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46902\/revisions\/46911"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46902"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46902"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46902"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}