{"id":50105,"date":"2019-08-26T13:26:11","date_gmt":"2019-08-26T03:26:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=50105"},"modified":"2020-07-24T15:05:57","modified_gmt":"2020-07-24T05:05:57","slug":"xi-believes-a-peace-disease-hampers-chinas-military-modernisation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/xi-believes-a-peace-disease-hampers-chinas-military-modernisation\/","title":{"rendered":"Xi believes a \u2018peace disease\u2019 hampers China\u2019s military modernisation"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53375\" src=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GettyImages-457985284.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GettyImages-457985284.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GettyImages-457985284-205x137.jpg 205w, https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GettyImages-457985284-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GettyImages-457985284-332x221.jpg 332w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>China\u2019s rapid military modernisation has triggered an intense discussion about Australia\u2019s defence priorities, reviving old debates about an independent \u2018defence of Australia\u2019 doctrine or a deeper alliance with the United States. Missing from that debate, however, is an understanding of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rand.org\/content\/dam\/rand\/pubs\/research_reports\/RR800\/RR893\/RAND_RR893.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">weaknesses and shortcomings<\/a> of the People\u2019s Liberation Army.<\/p>\n<p>Arguably the most important of these for Australian defence planners to understand is what Chinese President Xi Jinping calls the PLA\u2019s \u2018peace disease\u2019 (\u548c\u5e73\u75c5). This malaise, basically a lack of combat experience, has been blamed by Chinese commentators on an inability <a href=\"http:\/\/www.81.cn\/jfjbmap\/content\/2018-06\/21\/content_209078.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">to train under realistic conditions<\/a> and goes to the heart of <a href=\"https:\/\/warontherocks.com\/2019\/02\/the-chinese-military-speaks-to-itself-revealing-doubts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Chinese Communist Party\u2019s worries<\/a> about the PLA\u2019s capability.<\/p>\n<p>The CCP is concerned that the PLA doesn\u2019t understand the intensity of modern combat. In a recent article for the PLA\u2019s official newspaper, the <em>People\u2019s Liberation Army Daily<\/em> (\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u62a5), <a href=\"http:\/\/www.81.cn\/jfjbmap\/content\/2019-07\/16\/content_238504.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chen Yongyi and Liu Yuanyuan write<\/a> that \u2018during times of war troops are engaged in battle with the enemy in sight\u2019. They argue that being in proximity to the enemy helps PLA personnel become aware of both the responsibilities and challenges of the modern battlespace. While some generals might <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ConnellyAL\/status\/1002857556434345985?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bemoan<\/a> a lack of combat experience, finding a way to address the problem short of outright war would allow the PLA to further narrow the gap with the US military.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, to assuage Xi\u2019s fears about the PLA\u2019s lack of appreciation of the intensity of modern conflict, the CCP has emphasised the need to improve the quality of the PLA\u2019s training. At the start of this year, the <em>PLA Daily<\/em> ran a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.81.cn\/jfjbmap\/content\/2019-01\/07\/content_224687.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">front-page editorial <\/a>urging personnel to \u2018firmly grasp realistic combat exercises\u2019 in order to meet Xi\u2019s goal of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.81.cn\/jfjbmap\/content\/2017-10\/25\/content_190383.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a more lethal military<\/a> that can match a high-end adversary.<\/p>\n<p>However, despite the focus on improving the quality of military training, issues in performance and readiness linger in the PLA. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.81.cn\/jfjbmap\/content\/2019-07\/18\/content_238677.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chen Dianhong<\/a> from the <em>PLA Daily<\/em> reported recently that the 75th Group Army was suffering acutely from a lack of preparedness for combat. \u2018The quality and amount of equipment are unsatisfactory and insufficient for daily training\u2019, the brigade leader noted. It\u2019s not clear that the CCP is entirely convinced that the 75th, or other corps for that matter, can meet <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uscc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/Fravel_USCC%20Testimony_FINAL.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Xi\u2019s lofty targets<\/a> for modernisation.<\/p>\n<p>The symptoms of poor performance and readiness might manifest themselves in large training exercises, but they begin in basic training. Writing in the <em>PLA Daily<\/em>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.81.cn\/jfjbmap\/content\/2019-08\/06\/content_240130.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">He Junlin and Sun Yanbao argue<\/a> that \u2018only through improved basic training can the full potential of [the PLA\u2019s] weapons be realised, comprehensively raising combat effectiveness\u2019. Their comment demonstrates that the CCP is concerned about a mismatch between the quality of the PLA\u2019s armaments and the quality of the personnel deploying them. To resolve this issue, the CCP expects the PLA to improve the basic training of new recruits.<\/p>\n<p>Better training alone is unlikely to cure the PLA\u2019s peace disease. Timothy Heath from the RAND Corporation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rand.org\/blog\/2018\/11\/chinas-military-has-no-combat-experience-does-it-matter.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">notes<\/a> that even \u2018combat experience does not automatically translate into military advantage\u2019; militaries must go further and internalise the lessons from combat operations and training exercises. Dennis J. Blasko has shown that the PLA does <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uscc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/Blasko_USCC%20Testimony_FINAL.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">have a record<\/a> of providing self-assessments of training performance, which may institutionalise good practice in preparation for modern conflict. Though some of these measures might be accurate, the PLA also suffers from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/china\/diplomacy-defence\/article\/2153579\/chinas-army-infiltrated-peace-disease-after-years\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">inaccurate assessments<\/a> of its own performance during basic training and combat exercises.<\/p>\n<p>These inaccurate self-assessments are another symptom of the PLA\u2019s problem. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.81.cn\/jfjbmap\/content\/2019-08\/01\/content_239767.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Xu Tao<\/a> recently penned an article in the <em>PLA Daily <\/em>warning personnel against providing \u2018critical praise\u2019 (\u6279\u8bc4\u5f0f\u8868\u626c) in order \u2018not to lose face\u2019 during performance appraisals. This indicates that some soldiers may be pointing out weaknesses that don\u2019t exist, while exaggerating strengths. Although the short-term effects of \u2018critical praise\u2019 might be restricted to false performance appraisals, the PLA\u2019s long-term force development could be harmed by officers prioritising exercises that personnel find easy over exercises that they find difficult.<\/p>\n<p>This gets to the pathogeny of what Xi calls the \u2018peace disease\u2019. Without recent experience in combat operations, military personnel could become unable to recognise weaknesses in performance relevant to modern warfare. Should these weaknesses be allowed to metastasise, the PLA\u2019s force development for vital missions could be harmed over time. The attention Xi has paid to the PLA\u2019s lack of experience \u00a0suggests that it\u2019s a worry for the CCP. Whether or not Xi has found the right cure remains unclear.<\/p>\n<p>For Australian defence planners, the CCP\u2019s concerns about the PLA demonstrate that China is still coming to terms with its military modernisation. Significant improvements have undoubtedly been made in the quantity and quality of weapons platforms that can be deployed by the PLA, especially in the air and maritime battlespaces. But without major improvements in the quality and training of personnel, the PLA\u2019s ability to prosecute the increasingly ambitious aims of the CCP is likely to be constrained.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China\u2019s rapid military modernisation has triggered an intense discussion about Australia\u2019s defence priorities, reviving old debates about an independent \u2018defence of Australia\u2019 doctrine or a deeper alliance with the United States. Missing from that debate, &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":592,"featured_media":53375,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[52,577,1414,392],"class_list":["post-50105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-china","tag-peoples-liberation-army","tag-pla","tag-taiwan"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Xi believes a \u2018peace disease\u2019 hampers China\u2019s military modernisation | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/xi-believes-a-peace-disease-hampers-chinas-military-modernisation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Xi believes a \u2018peace disease\u2019 hampers China\u2019s military modernisation | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China\u2019s rapid military modernisation has triggered an intense discussion about Australia\u2019s defence priorities, reviving old debates about an independent \u2018defence of Australia\u2019 doctrine or a deeper alliance with the United States. 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