{"id":55999,"date":"2020-05-19T14:33:41","date_gmt":"2020-05-19T04:33:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=55999"},"modified":"2020-05-19T14:33:41","modified_gmt":"2020-05-19T04:33:41","slug":"towards-a-blue-water-space-force","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/","title":{"rendered":"Towards a blue-water space force?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/figure>\n

The formation of the US Space Force has raised inevitable questions about its purpose and role and about how it will fit in with broader US space policy and activities in the civil and commercial space sectors. It\u2019s an issue that Australia\u2019s defence policy community, and our growing commercial space sector, need to keep on top of.<\/p>\n

The space force sits within the US Department of the Air Force in the same way as the US Marine Corps sits within the Department of the Navy. Its role<\/a> is to provide \u2018freedom of operation for the United States in, from and to space; and prompt and sustained space operations\u2019 and its duties are to \u2018protect the interests of the United States in space; deter aggression in, from, and to space; and conduct space operations.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s a broad remit with lots of loose language. And, as Douglas Adams notes in The hitchhikers guide to the galaxy<\/em>, \u2018Space is big. Really big<\/a>\u2019, so there\u2019s ample room to grow the branch\u2019s mission and develop new capability in coming years. John Klein argues that it will take time for the space force to develop its a unique service culture<\/a> with which to shape innovation in operational thinking. That\u2019s essential for the force\u2019s capability requirements and force structure.<\/p>\n

Its short-term focus will be in the near-earth region between low-earth orbit, starting at around 160 kilometres, and geosynchronous orbit, extending out to 36,500 kilometres.<\/p>\n

To use a maritime analogy, we can think of this region as the \u2018brown water<\/a>\u2019 battlespace. It\u2019s the region most directly relevant to terrestrial military operations, because it\u2019s where the space capabilities of the US and its allies, as well as those of China and Russia, are located. If a major-power war eventuates, the first shots are likely to be fired in this region to gain space superiority.<\/p>\n

Human activity is set to extend well beyond this region out to cislunar space, encompassing the region between earth and the moon , the lunar surface and the region around the moon. Some analysts contend<\/a> that the space force needs to focus on this \u2018blue water\u2019 region. That argument builds on a policy paper<\/a> released by US Air Force Space Command in 2019, which looked out to 2060<\/a> and considered an American military presence on the lunar surface and in cislunar space.<\/p>\n

These competing visions of future space activity have fostered an interesting debate<\/a> in Washington space policy circles. One school emphasises a focused \u2018warfighting domain\u2019 approach<\/a> in the brown water to respond to the immediate challenge posed by Chinese and Russian anti-satellite weapons. The other camp espouses a more expansive blue-water vision<\/a> that focuses on preventing Chinese dominance of a 21st-century space economy centered on the moon and its environs.<\/p>\n

The brown-water approach give prominence to space resilience and deterrence. That means the US and its allies need space domain awareness through ground-based and space-based surveillance networks, but also an ability to respond to threats in space and ensure responsive space access.<\/p>\n

Australia is well positioned to play a critical part in such operations. It already has a vital role in ground-based space surveillance with its Five Eyes intelligence-sharing partners (the US, Britain, Canada and New Zealand) and with Germany and France through the 2014 Combined Space Operations Initiative<\/a>. Our commercial space sector is vibrant and growing and is poised<\/a> to offer a sovereign space launch capability<\/a> from the Northern Territory<\/a> and South Australia<\/a>. Numerous local space startups are developing small satellites and cubesats.<\/p>\n

The blue-water vision for the US Space Force is much grander. It\u2019s built on the prospect that both the US and China will have a sustained presence on and around the moon in coming decades, and that they\u2019ll compete for resources and access to strategically important locations in space.<\/p>\n

US President Donald Trump\u2019s executive order<\/a> on the recovery and use of space resources will strengthen the case of the blue-water advocates, as will NASA\u2019s recently declared \u2018Artemis Accords\u2019<\/a> on regulatory arrangements for using space resources on and around the moon. The executive order, released in April, says, \u2018[I]t shall be the policy of the United States to encourage international support for the public and private recovery and use of resources in outer space, consistent with applicable law.\u2019<\/p>\n

The order doesn\u2019t see space as a global commons, which implies that the US is committed to supporting utilisation of space resources. The Artemis Accords make clear that any such use will be consistent with the key articles in the 1967 Outer Space Treaty. That sets up an interesting legal conundrum: how does one extract and control space resources without claiming ownership of the territory upon which they\u2019re found? That conundrum builds on a policy direction originally initiated by the Obama administration\u2019s 2015 Space Resources Act<\/a>.<\/p>\n

China\u2019s plans for the moon remain unclear, but strong hints have emerged<\/a> that it will seek to send it own astronauts, or taikonauts, to the lunar surface in the 2030s, if not before. Namrata Goswami<\/a> and Peter Garretson<\/a> both suggest a future of intensifying US\u2013China competition on and around the moon. The blue-water vision for the US Space Force would align neatly with the Trump administration\u2019s decision on space resource utilisation and ensure the US can counter any Chinese move to dominate the high ground of lunar orbit.<\/p>\n

A US commercial space start-up, Rhea Space Activity<\/a>, recently won a Defense Department contract to provide lunar intelligence gathering, or \u2018lunint<\/a>\u2019, which would involve detecting and tracking a foreign state\u2019s space activities in lunar orbit and on the moon\u2019s surface. Interestingly, Rhea is supported by Saber Astronautics, which has offices in the US and Australia. The same types of capabilities that could allow Australia to contribute to burden-sharing in orbit with the US in the brown-water environment can also play a role in cislunar space.<\/p>\n

Australia\u2019s Defence Department is focused, rightly, on developing sovereign space capabilities for the defence force in satellite communications and space-based reconnaissance.<\/p>\n

But Australia\u2019s commercial space sector offers much more potential to support the US military in space, whether in the brown water or far out in the deep blue.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The formation of the US Space Force has raised inevitable questions about its purpose and role and about how it will fit in with broader US space policy and activities in the civil and commercial …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":147,"featured_media":56001,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1640,2522,2269],"class_list":["post-55999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-space","tag-space-economy","tag-space-force"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTowards a blue-water space force? | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Towards a blue-water space force? | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The formation of the US Space Force has raised inevitable questions about its purpose and role and about how it will fit in with broader US space policy and activities in the civil and commercial ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ASPI.org\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-05-19T04:33:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/49898771736_b94f7cc34b_c.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"799\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"533\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Malcolm Davis\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ASPI_org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ASPI_org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Malcolm Davis\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/\",\"name\":\"The Strategist\",\"description\":\"ASPI's analysis and commentary site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/49898771736_b94f7cc34b_c.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/49898771736_b94f7cc34b_c.jpg\",\"width\":799,\"height\":533},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/\",\"name\":\"Towards a blue-water space force? | The Strategist\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-05-19T04:33:41+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-05-19T04:33:41+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/004d5acd1b50c90b8d3af1ddfe0146e7\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Towards a blue-water space force?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/004d5acd1b50c90b8d3af1ddfe0146e7\",\"name\":\"Malcolm Davis\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/e30138c7970d42c9a573bddc38c3101b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/e30138c7970d42c9a573bddc38c3101b?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Malcolm Davis\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/author\/malcolm-davis\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Towards a blue-water space force? | The Strategist","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Towards a blue-water space force? | The Strategist","og_description":"The formation of the US Space Force has raised inevitable questions about its purpose and role and about how it will fit in with broader US space policy and activities in the civil and commercial ...","og_url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/","og_site_name":"The Strategist","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ASPI.org","article_published_time":"2020-05-19T04:33:41+00:00","og_image":[{"width":799,"height":533,"url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/49898771736_b94f7cc34b_c.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Malcolm Davis","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@ASPI_org","twitter_site":"@ASPI_org","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Malcolm Davis","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/","name":"The Strategist","description":"ASPI's analysis and commentary site","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-AU"},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-AU","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/49898771736_b94f7cc34b_c.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/49898771736_b94f7cc34b_c.jpg","width":799,"height":533},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/","url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/","name":"Towards a blue-water space force? | The Strategist","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/#primaryimage"},"datePublished":"2020-05-19T04:33:41+00:00","dateModified":"2020-05-19T04:33:41+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/004d5acd1b50c90b8d3af1ddfe0146e7"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-AU","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/towards-a-blue-water-space-force\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Towards a blue-water space force?"}]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/004d5acd1b50c90b8d3af1ddfe0146e7","name":"Malcolm Davis","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-AU","@id":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/e30138c7970d42c9a573bddc38c3101b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/e30138c7970d42c9a573bddc38c3101b?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Malcolm Davis"},"url":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/author\/malcolm-davis\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55999"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/147"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55999"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55999\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":56005,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55999\/revisions\/56005"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56001"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55999"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55999"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55999"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}