{"id":5625,"date":"2013-04-19T14:35:25","date_gmt":"2013-04-19T05:35:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=5625"},"modified":"2023-04-12T12:57:44","modified_gmt":"2023-04-12T02:57:44","slug":"aspi-suggests-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-25\/","title":{"rendered":"ASPI suggests"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Defense.gov_News_Photo_110110-F-6655M-007_-_Secretary_of_Defense_Robert_M._Gates_reviews_the_People_s_Liberation_Army_Honor_Guard_as_part_of_an_arrival_ceremony_honoring_Gates_visit_to_the.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5630\" title=\" Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates reviews the People's Liberation Army Honor Guard as part of an arrival ceremony honoring Gates' visit to the Bayi building in Beijing, China, on Jan. 10, 2011.\" src=\"http:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Defense.gov_News_Photo_110110-F-6655M-007_-_Secretary_of_Defense_Robert_M._Gates_reviews_the_People_s_Liberation_Army_Honor_Guard_as_part_of_an_arrival_ceremony_honoring_Gates_visit_to_the.jpg\" alt=\" Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates reviews the People's Liberation Army Honor Guard as part of an arrival ceremony honoring Gates' visit to the Bayi building in Beijing, China, on Jan. 10, 2011.\" width=\"800\" height=\"580\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Defense.gov_News_Photo_110110-F-6655M-007_-_Secretary_of_Defense_Robert_M._Gates_reviews_the_People_s_Liberation_Army_Honor_Guard_as_part_of_an_arrival_ceremony_honoring_Gates_visit_to_the.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Defense.gov_News_Photo_110110-F-6655M-007_-_Secretary_of_Defense_Robert_M._Gates_reviews_the_People_s_Liberation_Army_Honor_Guard_as_part_of_an_arrival_ceremony_honoring_Gates_visit_to_the-205x149.jpg 205w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a>China released a new <a href=\"http:\/\/eng.mod.gov.cn\/TopNews\/2013-04\/16\/content_4442750.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Defence White Paper<\/a>. Lots of commentary on that, including from the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-asia-china-22163599\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BBC<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2013\/04\/17\/world\/asia\/china-suggests-us-is-stirring-tensions-in-asia.html?gwh=BB46A80E6713B81BE3F1BA3B640BC4D5&amp;_r=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NYT<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theaustralian.com.au\/news\/world\/chinese-forces-at-850000-strong\/story-e6frg6so-1226621990537\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Australian<\/a>. In particular it seems that China <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2013\/04\/19\/opinion\/is-china-changing-its-position-on-nuclear-weapons.html?pagewanted=all&amp;_r=0&amp;gwh=0DA95F8063BF4D4DBB81804EE54F1809\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">didn\u2019t include<\/a> a no-first-use statement about its nuclear arsenal.<\/p>\n<p>Former Australian ambassador Garry Woodard <a href=\"http:\/\/nautilus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/Two-Australian-wars-two-prime-ministers.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">has reconstructed<\/a> (PDF) what he calls \u00a0<span style=\"font-size: 13px;\">&#8216;\u2026the previously unknown, and remarkably casual process by which the Menzies government committed Australian troops to Vietnam.&#8217;\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px;\">He then goes on to argue that the &#8216;processes by which Australian governments have taken the decision to go to war, from Korea in 1950 to Vietnam to Iraq in 2003, do not stand up to scrutiny.&#8217;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ross Terrill, a doyen of China studies and visiting fellow at ASPI, is giving a lecture at the ANU China Institute at 5pm on Friday, 26\u00a0April on <a href=\"http:\/\/chinainstitute.anu.edu.au\/events\/event_details.php?searchterm=cap_245792507&amp;semyear=2013\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mao, the CCP, and American China-policy: an overview from Yanan years till now<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The Boston bombings this week have generated more speculation than information. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/online\/blogs\/comment\/2013\/04\/the-saudi-marathon-man.html?mbid=social_retweet&amp;mobify=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">But here we have an example<\/a> from the New Yorker of the results of fear-mongering, and similarly, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-us-canada-22191030\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">this piece from the BBC<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s a lot out there on the Korean situation, but here is a <a href=\"http:\/\/thediplomat.com\/2013\/04\/05\/north-korea-and-the-fallacy-of-accidental-wars\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sensible one<\/a> on why, though not utterly improbable, war on the Korean Peninsula is highly unlikely. Also on The Diplomat, is <a href=\"http:\/\/thediplomat.com\/china-power\/japan-and-taiwans-senkakus-play\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">this piece<\/a> about the provocative move by Japan to grant fishing rights to Taiwan around the Senkaku\/Diaoyu Islands, which are the subject of a dispute between Japan and China.<\/p>\n<p>CSIS <a href=\"http:\/\/csis.org\/files\/publication\/130401_Geostrategic_Implications_Unconventional_Oil_Natural_Gas_Ladislaw_Leed.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">has a report<\/a> (PDF) to provide a taster on the complexities of the geostrategic implications of unconventional oil and natural gas\u2014a good thing in a week where Woodside Petroleum <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2013\/04\/13\/business\/global\/woodside-petroleum-cancels-onshore-lng-project-in-australia.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cancelled a USD$45 billion liquefied natural gas project<\/a> in Western Australia.<\/p>\n<p><em>Image courtesy of <a href=\" Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates reviews the People's Liberation Army Honor Guard as part of an arrival ceremony honoring Gates' visit to the Bayi building in Beijing, China, on Jan. 10, 2011.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wikimedia Commons<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China released a new Defence White Paper. Lots of commentary on that, including from the BBC, NYT, and The Australian. In particular it seems that China didn\u2019t include a no-first-use statement about its nuclear arsenal. &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":71,"featured_media":5630,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ASPI suggests | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/aspi-suggests-25\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASPI suggests | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China released a new Defence White Paper. 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