{"id":62605,"date":"2021-02-19T10:34:53","date_gmt":"2021-02-18T23:34:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=62605"},"modified":"2021-02-19T10:34:53","modified_gmt":"2021-02-18T23:34:53","slug":"can-2021-still-be-australias-year-of-southeast-asia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/can-2021-still-be-australias-year-of-southeast-asia\/","title":{"rendered":"Can 2021 still be Australia\u2019s year of Southeast Asia?"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"947\" height=\"635\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-62608\" src=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/austseasia1902.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/austseasia1902.jpg 947w, https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/austseasia1902-205x137.jpg 205w, https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/austseasia1902-768x515.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 947px) 100vw, 947px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>With multiple initiatives set to launch, 2021 was supposed to be the year Australia pivoted to Southeast Asia. Recent events <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/after-myanmars-coup\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">in Myanmar<\/a> will make this more challenging, but the underlying reasons for investing in Southeast Asia remain.<\/p>\n<p>At the start of 2020, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dfat.gov.au\/aid\/new-international-development-policy\/Pages\/submissions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">consultations<\/a> for a new international development policy were full of voices worrying that Australia was <a href=\"https:\/\/asialink.unimelb.edu.au\/__data\/assets\/pdf_file\/0011\/3295118\/Asialink-Submission-to-Australias-New-International-Development-Policy-Feb-2020.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stepping away<\/a> from Southeast Asia following its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/happy-fourth-birthday-pacific-step-up\/\">Pacific step-up<\/a> announcement. But by year\u2019s end, the government had announced significant funding for a variety of projects across Southeast Asian nations.<\/p>\n<p>In May, the \u2018<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dfat.gov.au\/publications\/aid\/partnerships-recovery-australias-covid-19-development-response\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Partnerships for recovery<\/a>\u2019 development policy placed a priority on the Pacific and Southeast Asia as Australia\u2019s immediate region. The rationale was clear: \u2018These are the places where we have the most extensive partnerships and can have most impact.\u2019 In July, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www1.defence.gov.au\/strategy-policy\/strategic-update-2020\">defence strategic update<\/a> announced a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/is-morrisons-strategic-update-the-defence-of-australia-doctrine-reborn\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">decisive refocus<\/a> on Australia\u2019s immediate region, from the northeastern Indian Ocean through maritime and mainland Southeast Asia to the Southwest Pacific.<\/p>\n<p>The October budget included <a href=\"https:\/\/www.australianforeignaffairs.com\/afaweekly\/aid-is-up\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$23 million<\/a> to distribute Covid-19 vaccines in Southeast Asia, in addition to other investments in the Pacific and Timor-Leste. This was followed by the treasurer\u2019s announcement of a <a href=\"https:\/\/ministers.treasury.gov.au\/ministers\/josh-frydenberg-2018\/media-releases\/bilateral-loan-indonesia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1.5-billion loan<\/a> to Indonesia for budgetary support.<\/p>\n<p>The renewed attention culminated in the prime minister\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pm.gov.au\/media\/investing-our-southeast-asian-partnerships\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">announcement<\/a>, following November\u2019s ASEAN\u2013Australia Summit, of \u2018a\u00a0new package of economic, development and security measures\u2019 to support the region\u2019s recovery from Covid-19. Highlights included:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignminister.gov.au\/minister\/marise-payne\/media-release\/australian-support-covid-19-vaccine-access-pacific-and-southeast-asia#:~:text=Through%20a%20regional%20vaccine%20access,support%20to%20our%20regional%20partners.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$500 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for a regional vaccine initiative<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in Southeast Asia and the Pacific<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.minister.defence.gov.au\/minister\/lreynolds\/media-releases\/australia-and-asean-tenth-anniversary-milestone-regional-security\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$104 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for a security package<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to extend defence cooperation, including military health collaboration, cyber resilience and defence attach\u00e9 postings across Southeast Asia<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pm.gov.au\/media\/investing-our-southeast-asian-partnerships\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$232 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to develop a new Mekong\u2013Australia partnership<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobalfund.org\/en\/government\/profiles\/australia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$24 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to combat infectious diseases in the Indo-Pacific<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> as part of Australia\u2019s increased pledge to the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pm.gov.au\/media\/investing-our-southeast-asian-partnerships\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$70 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to bolster infrastructure advice to and partnerships with Southeast Asia\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pm.gov.au\/media\/investing-our-southeast-asian-partnerships\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$65 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for regional maritime states for enhanced training, technical advice and cooperation<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pm.gov.au\/media\/investing-our-southeast-asian-partnerships\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$13 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to help partners work with technology standards-setting bodies<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pm.gov.au\/media\/investing-our-southeast-asian-partnerships\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$46 million<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for eligible ASEAN countries to help implement trade agreements.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Put together, it represents Australia\u2019s largest funding commitment to Southeast Asia since the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dfat.gov.au\/news\/news\/Pages\/indian-ocean-tsunami#:~:text=Australia%20provided%20%2425.8%20million%20in,nutrition%20and%20drinking%20water%20supply\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2004 tsunami<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A number of initiatives under this package are due to come online in 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Australia planned to enhance its diplomatic representation in Myanmar by opening a liaison <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2020-11-14\/australia-canberra-new-aid-south-east-asia-scott-morrison\/12883088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">office in Naypyidaw<\/a>, adding to its ability to support economic integration and development. The military takeover in Myanmar, however, means it\u2019s not clear whether this will go ahead.<\/p>\n<p>But the new <a href=\"https:\/\/asean.org\/asean-strategic-framework-public-health-emergencies\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ASEAN Centre for Public Health Emergencies and Emerging Diseases<\/a> should open with Australia\u2019s $21 million adding to funding <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mofa.go.jp\/a_o\/rp\/page3e_001075.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">from Japan<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>And a new <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dfat.gov.au\/about-us\/business-opportunities\/Pages\/update-southeast-asia-economic-governance-and-infrastructure-facility-eoi-released\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">infrastructure initiative<\/a> will open an office in Bangkok to provide quick-response technical advice on infrastructure decisions, such as project planning, prioritisation, procurement and transaction structuring, as well as sector policy regulation.<\/p>\n<p>Australia and Malaysia held their first annual leaders\u2019 meeting in January, at which they agreed to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dfat.gov.au\/geo\/malaysia\/joint-statement-comprehensive-strategic-partnership-between-australia-and-malaysia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">elevate their relationship<\/a> to the level of a comprehensive strategic partnership.<\/p>\n<p>But the biggest and most immediate factors in Australia\u2019s Southeast Asia refocus have been the challenges posed by Covid-19 and China.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aph.gov.au\/About_Parliament\/Parliamentary_Departments\/Parliamentary_Library\/pubs\/rp\/rp2021\/Quick_Guides\/COVIDSouthAsia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">scale of damage<\/a> across the region wrought by the pandemic has been profound and has made it impossible to argue that Southeast Asia somehow no longer needs Australia\u2019s support. An <a href=\"https:\/\/ministers.treasury.gov.au\/ministers\/josh-frydenberg-2018\/media-releases\/bilateral-loan-indonesia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">imperative<\/a> to counter depressed global economic activity and trade fits comfortably with the Australian government\u2019s domestic narrative on the need to support recovery\u2014ensuring that the region \u2018can recover quickly will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignminister.gov.au\/minister\/marise-payne\/media-release\/australian-support-covid-19-vaccine-access-pacific-and-southeast-asia#:~:text=Through%20a%20regional%20vaccine%20access,support%20to%20our%20regional%20partners.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stimulate economic activity<\/a> and restore jobs at home and abroad\u2019. The Covid-19 health emergency has shown that countries are interconnected and have a self-interest in supporting each other for their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignminister.gov.au\/minister\/marise-payne\/media-release\/australian-support-covid-19-vaccine-access-pacific-and-southeast-asia#:~:text=Through%20a%20regional%20vaccine%20access,support%20to%20our%20regional%20partners.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">own health security<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the rise of China and its influence in Southeast Asia have made clear that Australia can\u2019t ignore its region in the face of <a href=\"https:\/\/s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com\/ad-aspi\/2020-10\/After%20Covid-19%20Volume%202.pdf?oE8oA0fwayBGmtDMQ7itfwkG86SHY9WV\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">intensifying <\/a>great-power competition. The Southeast Asia package includes infrastructure initiatives which Australia would see as building countries\u2019 <a href=\"https:\/\/devpolicy.org\/how-to-talk-to-diplomats-about-development-20200224\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">resilience<\/a> in the face of external pressure.<\/p>\n<p>Australia is viewing development assistance as part of its strategic arsenal. While the additional funding in October\u2019s budget was <a href=\"https:\/\/devpolicy.org\/2020-aid-budget-20201007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">not counted<\/a> as development funding\u2014so as not to increase the development spend above the ceiling of $4 billion\u2014the partnership package in November did increase the development budget. This suggests that the government recognises that the current investment is too low to meet Australia\u2019s strategic objectives.<\/p>\n<p>If Australia wants to have deep relationships in Southeast Asia, it has to invest. Australia can offer tangible, practical programs in areas where it has capability. As the Australian Council for International Development\u2019s Bridi Rice notes, development cooperation shows off <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=PTfG-CL3OUU\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">positive Australian traits<\/a> like pragmatism and problem-solving.<\/p>\n<p>Australia is working harder to coordinate the various elements of its power projection. The Southeast Asia package was presented as a whole-of-government initiative, with the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade playing a coordinating role. There is an appetite for this, as demonstrated by enthusiasm from former officials for the <a href=\"https:\/\/acfid.asn.au\/media-releases\/australia%E2%80%99s-development-diplomacy-and-defence-leaders-call-foreign-policy-re-think\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Asia Pacific Development, Diplomacy and Defence Dialogue (AP4D)<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It is positive to see Australia drawing on the full suite of defence, diplomatic and development tools to establish deep partnerships with the countries of Southeast Asia\u2014a region that remains vitally important to Australia\u2019s health, security and economy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With multiple initiatives set to launch, 2021 was supposed to be the year Australia pivoted to Southeast Asia. Recent events in Myanmar will make this more challenging, but the underlying reasons for investing in Southeast &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":201,"featured_media":62608,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[189,17,294,25],"class_list":["post-62605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-asean","tag-australia","tag-diplomacy","tag-southeast-asia"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Can 2021 still be Australia\u2019s year of Southeast Asia? | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/can-2021-still-be-australias-year-of-southeast-asia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can 2021 still be Australia\u2019s year of Southeast Asia? | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"With multiple initiatives set to launch, 2021 was supposed to be the year Australia pivoted to Southeast Asia. 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