{"id":65165,"date":"2021-06-18T11:00:31","date_gmt":"2021-06-18T01:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=65165"},"modified":"2021-07-06T14:07:05","modified_gmt":"2021-07-06T04:07:05","slug":"one-hundred-years-of-devastation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/one-hundred-years-of-devastation\/","title":{"rendered":"One hundred years of devastation"},"content":{"rendered":"
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On 1 July, the Chinese Communist Party will stage a patriotic extravaganza to celebrate the 100th anniversary of its founding. Among the achievements it will celebrate is the Baihetan Dam, located on the Jinsha River on the southeastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau. The dam will start operations<\/a> on the same day.<\/p>\n

The CCP loves a superlative. It is the world\u2019s largest manufacturer and exporter, with the world\u2019s largest foreign reserves. It boasts the world\u2019s highest railway and the highest and longest bridges. It is also the world\u2019s most dammed country, with more large dams than the rest of the world combined, and prides itself on having the world\u2019s biggest water-transfer canal system.<\/p>\n

The dams themselves are often superlative. The Three Gorges Dam is the world\u2019s largest power station, in terms of installed capacity, and the Baihetan Dam is billed as the world\u2019s biggest arch dam<\/a>, as well as the world\u2019s first project to use a giant one-gigawatt (GW) hydro-turbine generator. With 16 such generators, Baihetan ranks as the world\u2019s second-largest hydroelectric dam (behind the Three Gorges Dam, at 22.5 GW).<\/p>\n

All of this makes great fodder for CCP-fuelled nationalism\u2014essential to the party\u2019s legitimacy. China often flaunts its hydroengineering prowess, including its execution of the most ambitious inter-river water transfers ever conceived, to highlight its military and economic might. (Of course, there are also superlatives China will not be flaunting at its upcoming centenary\u2014beginning with the world\u2019s largest network of concentration camps<\/a>.)<\/p>\n

But China\u2019s dams are not merely symbols of the country\u2019s greatness. Nor is their purpose simply to ensure China\u2019s water security, as the CCP claims. They are also intended as a source of leverage that China can use to exert control over downstream countries.<\/p>\n

The CCP\u2019s 1951 annexation of the water-rich Tibetan Plateau\u2014the starting point of Asia\u2019s 10 major river systems\u2014gave China tremendous power over Asia\u2019s water map<\/a>. In the ensuing decades, the country has made the most of this riparian advantage. For example, by building 11 giant dams<\/a> on the Mekong, just before the river crosses into Southeast Asia, China has secured the ability to turn off the region\u2019s water tap<\/a>.<\/p>\n

But the CCP is failing to consider the high costs of its strategy, which extend far beyond political friction with neighbours. The party\u2019s insatiable damming is wreaking environmental havoc<\/a> on Asia\u2019s major river systems, including mainland China\u2019s dual lifelines: the Yellow and the Yangtze.<\/p>\n

Giant dams damage<\/a> ecosystems, drive freshwater species to extinction<\/a>, cause deltas to retreat<\/a>, and often emit more greenhouse gases<\/a> than fossil-fuel power plants. More than 350 lakes in China have disappeared<\/a> in recent decades, and, with few free-flowing rivers left, river fragmentation and depletion have become endemic<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The social costs are no less severe. For starters, given shoddy construction in the first three decades of communist rule, about 3,200<\/a> dams collapsed by 1981, with the 1975 Banqiao Dam failure alone killing up to 230,000 people<\/a>. China has raised its dam-building prowess dramatically since then, and Baihetan was completed in just four years. But as its early dams age, and weather becomes increasingly extreme, catastrophic failures remain a serious risk<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Dam projects have displaced an enormous number of Chinese. In 2007, just as China\u2019s mega-dam-building drive was gaining momentum, Prime Minister Wen Jiabao revealed<\/a> that, since the CCP\u2019s rise to power, China had relocated 22.9 million people to make way for water projects\u2014a figure larger<\/a> than more than 100 countries\u2019 entire populations. The Three Gorges Dam alone displaced<\/a> more than 1.4 million people.<\/p>\n

This doesn\u2019t seem to bother the CCP much. Baihetan\u2019s inundation of vast stretches of a sparsely populated highland has forced local residents, mostly from the relatively poor Yi nationality<\/a>, to farm more marginal tracts at higher elevations. As China shifts its focus<\/a> from the dam-saturated rivers in its heartland to rivers in the ethnic-minority homelands the CCP annexed, China\u2019s economically and culturally marginalised communities will suffer the most.<\/p>\n

And there\u2019s little doubt that this will happen. The CCP has now set its sights on building the world\u2019s first super-dam, on the Yarlung Zangbo River\u2014better known as the Brahmaputra\u2014near Tibet\u2019s heavily militarised border with India.<\/p>\n

The Brahmaputra curves around the Himalayas in a U-turn and forms the planet\u2019s longest and deepest canyon, as it plunges from an altitude of 2,800 metres towards the Indian floodplains. Damming it means building at an elevation of more than 1,500 metres\u2014the highest at which a mega-dam has ever been built. And because the gorge holds the world\u2019s largest untapped<\/a> concentration of river energy, the super-dam is supposed to have a hydropower generating capacity of 60 GW, nearly three times that of the Three Gorges Dam.<\/p>\n

The fact that the gorge is one of the world\u2019s most biodiverse regions seems to be of little concern to the CCP, which is far more interested in being able to use water as a weapon against India, its Asian rival. China has already set the stage for construction, recently completing<\/a> a highway through the canyon and announcing the start of high-speed train service<\/a> to a military town near the gorge. This will enable the transport of heavy equipment, materials and workers to the remote region, which was long thought inaccessible because of its treacherous terrain.<\/p>\n

The CCP views its centenary as cause for celebration. But the rest of the world should see the party for what it is: repressive, genocidal and environmentally rapacious. And it should prepare for what the CCP\u2019s second century may bring.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On 1 July, the Chinese Communist Party will stage a patriotic extravaganza to celebrate the 100th anniversary of its founding. 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