{"id":66144,"date":"2021-08-02T13:00:50","date_gmt":"2021-08-02T03:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=66144"},"modified":"2021-08-02T12:54:04","modified_gmt":"2021-08-02T02:54:04","slug":"does-australia-have-a-one-china-two-chinas-or-one-china-one-taiwan-policy-or-all-three","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/does-australia-have-a-one-china-two-chinas-or-one-china-one-taiwan-policy-or-all-three\/","title":{"rendered":"Does Australia have a \u2018one China\u2019, \u2018two Chinas\u2019 or \u2018one China, one Taiwan\u2019 policy\u2014or all three?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/figure>\n

Most Australians would be wondering how we can have a \u2018one-China policy\u2019 when Defence Minister Peter Dutton has warned that war with China over Taiwan can\u2019t be ruled out<\/a>. \u2018Why is it so?\u2019, as Julius Sumner Miller would have said.<\/p>\n

The one-China policy accepts that there\u2019s only one sovereign state under the name China, as opposed to the notion that there are two: the People\u2019s Republic of China and the Republic of China.\u00a0The simple reason for the one-China policy is that the PRC has always been more important strategically to the international community than the ROC.<\/p>\n

By way of background, after the Sino-Soviet border conflicts of 1969, relations between China and the Soviet Union were marked by ongoing military and political tensions, and it suited both the West and China to seek rapprochement with an eye on the Soviet Union. At the time, China, like Taiwan, was poor and there was no obvious prospect of its becoming an economic powerhouse.<\/p>\n

In 1971, the United Nations voted to recognise the PRC<\/a> as the sole government of China. After that, the PRC refused to have diplomatic relations with countries that recognised the ROC.<\/p>\n

This led to countries\u2014mainly developing ones subsidised by China\u2014recognising only China. Others, mainly developed countries (including Australia and its Five Eyes partners) recognise China but maintain \u2018unofficial\u2019 relations with Taiwan.\u00a0A few nations that are subsidised by Taiwan recognise the ROC as China\u2019s sole legitimate government.<\/p>\n

The basis of Australia\u2019s one-China policy is the 1972 communiqu\u00e9 issued by the Commonwealth of Australia and the PRC, which states:<\/p>\n

The Australian Government recognises the Government of the People\u2019s Republic of China as the sole legal Government of China, acknowledges the position of the Chinese Government that Taiwan is a province of the People\u2019s Republic of China, and has decided to remove its official representation from Taiwan before January 25, 1973.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Since we signed the 1972 communiqu\u00e9, Taiwan\u2019s progress from military dictatorship to democratisation has been impressive. So (like China\u2019s) has been its economic development.<\/p>\n

At present, 179 of the 193 UN member states recognise the PRC, while only 14 and the Holy See have official diplomatic relations with Taiwan. Most developed countries, like Australia<\/a>, maintain unofficial diplomatic ties with Taiwan through representative offices and institutions that function as de facto embassies and consulates.<\/p>\n

Australia\u2019s representative office in Taiwan doesn\u2019t have diplomatic status, and nor does Taiwan\u2019s Taipei Economic and Cultural Office in Australia.<\/p>\n

The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade website notes<\/a> that:<\/p>\n

The Australian Government strongly supports the development, on an unofficial basis, of economic and cultural relations with Taiwan including a range of two-way visits, state, territory and local government contacts, trade and investment opportunities and people to people links. Australia supports Taiwan\u2019s participation in international organisations and conferences where appropriate.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

In 2003, I ran a counterterrorism workshop for Taiwan\u2019s National Security Bureau. The director-general wanted to establish a working relationship with the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation on issues of common interest. I broached the offer in Canberra, but at that time there was no Australian interest in a security intelligence relationship with Taiwan.<\/p>\n

International organisations in which the PRC participates are pressured to either refuse to grant membership to Taiwan or allow it to participate only on a non-state basis. (For example, Taiwan competes at the Olympics as \u2018Chinese Taipei\u2019.)<\/p>\n

As China expert Mark Harrison has noted<\/a>: \u2018The legacy of Confucianism is why Beijing is so acutely sensitive to the language that is used with respect to Taiwan. For Beijing, any vocabulary that implies that Taiwan is a nation-state \u2026 would ultimately undermine the historical legitimacy of the PRC party-state.\u2019<\/p>\n

Taiwan (by contrast with China) is now ranked highly in terms of political and civil liberties. It\u2019s also rated highly for education, health care and human development. Taiwan\u2019s export-oriented industrial economy is now the 21st largest in the world by nominal GDP, with major contributions from steel, machinery, electronics, and chemicals manufacturing. Components of major computer brands like HTC, Acer, Asus and MSI are manufactured in Taiwan.<\/p>\n

In 2018 (the latest data available), Taiwan was Australia\u2019s sixth-largest merchandise export market and 16th-largest source of merchandise imports. Australia\u2019s exports to Taiwan in 2018 were worth $10.6 billion. Our major exports were coal, iron ore, natural gas and copper.<\/p>\n

This is still miniscule compared to our trade with China. China is Australia\u2019s largest two-way trading partner in goods and services, accounting for 29% of our international trade. Two-way trade reached $251 billion in 2019\u201320, and our exports to China grew by 9% to $168 billion.<\/p>\n

Our one-China policy is effectively a \u2018having our cake and eating it too\u2019 policy.<\/p>\n

How valid is China\u2019s claim that Taiwan is a province of China? Geographically and historically, it seems fairly tenuous.<\/p>\n

Taiwanese indigenous peoples settled the island around 6,000 years ago. It was annexed\u00a0in 1683 by China\u2019s Qing dynasty and there followed a large-scale Han Chinese immigration. For a time in the 17th century it was partly under Dutch rule. Japan took control in 1895.<\/p>\n

In 1945, following Japan\u2019s surrender, the Nationalist ROC took control of Taiwan and tried to do the same in mainland China.\u00a0This led to the resumption of the civil war between Chinese Communist Party forces under Mao Zedong and Nationalist forces under Chiang Kai-shek. By 1949, the Nationalist forces had been soundly defeated in mainland China and fled to Taiwan.<\/p>\n

Since then, the Nationalist ROC in Taiwan has intermittently claimed to be the rightful government of China, while the PRC has claimed to be the rightful government of both China and Taiwan.<\/p>\n

There is no prospect of Taiwanese indigenous people successfully laying claim to the island. More than 95% of its 23.4 million people are Han Chinese, while only 2.3% are indigenous.<\/p>\n

Today, Taiwan\u2019s main political divide is between parties favouring eventual reunification with China and those aspiring to an independent Republic of Taiwan. (But any prospect of reunification after China\u2019s crushing of democracy in Hong Kong seems very remote.)<\/p>\n

In any case, both political groupings are conscious of the danger of pushing their agendas too hard. Most voters are less concerned about Taiwan\u2019s governance or politicians\u2019 ambitions than the traditional Chinese values of maintaining family ties and family prosperity, both of which are best served by maintaining an amicable working relationship with China.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Australia\u2019s current position reflects a curious Confucian obfuscation between a foreign policy that recognises one China and a strategic policy that doesn\u2019t.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Most Australians would be wondering how we can have a \u2018one-China policy\u2019 when Defence Minister Peter Dutton has warned that war with China over Taiwan can\u2019t be ruled out. \u2018Why is it so?\u2019, as Julius …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":749,"featured_media":66148,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[17,52,285,392],"class_list":["post-66144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-australia","tag-china","tag-foreign-policy","tag-taiwan"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDoes Australia have a \u2018one China\u2019, \u2018two Chinas\u2019 or \u2018one China, one Taiwan\u2019 policy\u2014or all three?\u00a0 | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/does-australia-have-a-one-china-two-chinas-or-one-china-one-taiwan-policy-or-all-three\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Does Australia have a \u2018one China\u2019, \u2018two Chinas\u2019 or \u2018one China, one Taiwan\u2019 policy\u2014or all three?\u00a0 | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Most Australians would be wondering how we can have a \u2018one-China policy\u2019 when Defence Minister Peter Dutton has warned that war with China over Taiwan can\u2019t be ruled out. \u2018Why is it so?\u2019, as Julius ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/does-australia-have-a-one-china-two-chinas-or-one-china-one-taiwan-policy-or-all-three\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ASPI.org\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-08-02T03:00:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-08-02T02:54:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/GettyImages-949089396.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"693\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Clive Williams\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ASPI_org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ASPI_org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Clive Williams\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/\",\"name\":\"The Strategist\",\"description\":\"ASPI's analysis and commentary site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/does-australia-have-a-one-china-two-chinas-or-one-china-one-taiwan-policy-or-all-three\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/GettyImages-949089396.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/GettyImages-949089396.jpg\",\"width\":1024,\"height\":693,\"caption\":\"KINMEN COUNTY, TAIWAN - APRIL 20: Shiyu, or Lion Islet, part of Kinmen County, one of Taiwan's offshore islands, is seen in front of the Chinese city of Xiamen, China, on April 20, 2018 in Kinmen, Taiwan. 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