{"id":66873,"date":"2021-09-02T06:00:16","date_gmt":"2021-09-01T20:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=66873"},"modified":"2021-09-01T18:42:41","modified_gmt":"2021-09-01T08:42:41","slug":"the-shame-of-kabul","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-shame-of-kabul\/","title":{"rendered":"The shame of Kabul"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/figure>\n

Now that the last Western aircraft have been sucked into the sky above Kabul airport\u2014a ravaged monument to what might have been\u2014thoughts here should turn to where the West\u2019s latest failed Afghan adventure leaves Australia.<\/p>\n

First, the collapse of Kabul should mark the end of Australian military involvement in West Asia\u2014where since the Gulf War we have been part of a continuum of events driven principally by American interests. These in turn have derived from the imperatives of revenge, strategic influence, oil, terror and ideology.<\/p>\n

While Australia\u2019s cited reasons for involvement in West Asia have covered all these imperatives, the most convincing has been alliance dues to the United States.<\/p>\n

Since the Americans have lost their own appetite for military involvement in that region, there\u2019s little left for us to do there.<\/p>\n

But it is not the end of the affair.<\/p>\n

Let us not seek solace from President Joe Biden\u2019s remark that the West\u2019s departure from Afghanistan gives it some sort of automatic infusion of political energy to deal more comprehensively with China.<\/p>\n

While Australia may now largely be off the hook in West Asia, try telling the big beasts\u2014China, Russia and India, to say nothing of Iran, Turkey and Pakistan and the more powerful Europeans\u2014that the Great Game is over. Try telling the warring Islamist groups to stop it. West Asia has always counted.<\/p>\n

In fact, the bomb blast by Islamic State Khorasan against both Taliban and US targets suggests the complex internecine Islamist feuding and its anti-Western targeting will be around for a while yet.<\/p>\n

A resurgence in Islamist activity could impact the region and the West as did Islamic State a few years ago, and could revive the discomfort posed by belligerent Islam to our friends in the region such as Indonesia and the Philippines.<\/p>\n

Second, the adverse reputational impact of the Kabul exodus on the US will be serious but not necessarily straightforward.<\/p>\n

The attack on Congress on 6 January confirmed the monstrosity of the Donald Trump tribe and the depth of the malady within the American polity\u2014demonstrating the paucity of America\u2019s power of example.<\/p>\n

The fall of Kabul is of a different order. For most of us, it did not drag down the qualities of American society. But like the fall of Saigon\u2014and to a lesser extent the Tehran hostage crisis\u2014it has raised questions about American strategic sagacity and national competence.<\/p>\n

These questions will be telling as the US seeks to maintain its influence in West Asia and counter Chinese pressures in the Indo-Pacific, particularly in the competitive crossroads of Southeast Asia.<\/p>\n

It would, however, be a mistake for Australia and its neighbours to interpret severe strategic setbacks and current reputational damage to the US as automatically leading to its longer term strategic degeneration. That could happen, but need not.<\/p>\n

For example, the 1970s were a bad decade for America. Yet the following 10 years saw the diminution and then the end of the Cold War, the collapse of the Soviet empire, and the growth of a workable, if unglamourous, system of Asia\u2013Pacific regional architecture.<\/p>\n

Times change. China is a more formidable rival than the Soviet Union, and America has spent much of its wealth. But even major geopolitical errors do not always spell out the future of empires.<\/p>\n

Third, Australia\u2019s response to the fall of Kabul deserves special mention.<\/p>\n

None of the Western allies deserve credit for their management of a limited evacuation of their citizens and Afghan employees from Kabul. The difference in performance between Australia and most of its allies is that the latter tried a great deal harder.<\/p>\n

Western governments have been on notice since April of the dangers of the precipitate collapse of major Afghan cities. Some, like the British and Canadians, tried to do something about it. We could all remember Saigon. Australia dragged its heels taking refuge in the arcane pettifoggery of a Dickens novel\u2014ignoring the views of those who understood what was happening on the ground.<\/p>\n

In demonstrating this attitude, just as Australia showed a disinclination to bring Australians back from India and Indonesia during crucial periods of their Covid-19 crises, we showed scant generosity of spirit. The latter is not always a central element of statecraft. But it can become so when we are seeking to suggest\u2014even in these unhappy times\u2014that our global approaches deserve respect.<\/p>\n

In recent months we have lost our capacity to argue from the high ground. Sadly, we are no longer a leader, but have become something paltry and second rate.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Now that the last Western aircraft have been sucked into the sky above Kabul airport\u2014a ravaged monument to what might have been\u2014thoughts here should turn to where the West\u2019s latest failed Afghan adventure leaves Australia. …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":334,"featured_media":66881,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[43,17,2397],"class_list":["post-66873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-afghanistan","tag-australia","tag-us-alliances"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe shame of Kabul | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-shame-of-kabul\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The shame of Kabul | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Now that the last Western aircraft have been sucked into the sky above Kabul airport\u2014a ravaged monument to what might have been\u2014thoughts here should turn to where the West\u2019s latest failed Afghan adventure leaves Australia. ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-shame-of-kabul\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ASPI.org\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-09-01T20:00:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-09-01T08:42:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-1234956680.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"683\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"John McCarthy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ASPI_org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ASPI_org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"John McCarthy\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/\",\"name\":\"The Strategist\",\"description\":\"ASPI's analysis and commentary site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-AU\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-shame-of-kabul\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-1234956680.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-1234956680.jpg\",\"width\":1024,\"height\":683,\"caption\":\"TOPSHOT - An US Air Force aircraft takes off from the airport in Kabul on August 30, 2021. - Rockets were fired at Kabul's airport on August 30 where US troops were racing to complete their withdrawal from Afghanistan and evacuate allies under the threat of Islamic State group attacks. 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