{"id":69329,"date":"2021-12-14T11:03:39","date_gmt":"2021-12-14T00:03:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=69329"},"modified":"2021-12-14T13:13:00","modified_gmt":"2021-12-14T02:13:00","slug":"terrorism-and-china-in-focus-at-beer-sheva-dialogue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/terrorism-and-china-in-focus-at-beer-sheva-dialogue\/","title":{"rendered":"Terrorism and China in focus at Be\u2019er Sheva Dialogue"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Israel and Australia face rapidly changing security environments with growing militarisation in their regions. Both are targets for terrorist attacks and are trying to meet the challenges of a more belligerent China.<\/p>\n

Against this reality, delegations from Australia and Israel met online in November for the seventh annual Be\u2019er Sheva Dialogue to discuss how the two nations can work together on areas of common strategic interest.<\/p>\n

The\u00a0dialogue\u00a0is a partnership between ASPI and the International Institute for Counter-Terrorism at Reichman University and brings together officials, parliamentarians and analysts.<\/p>\n

There was considerable agreement on the view that China was an increasingly intrusive and aggressive power in both the Indo-Pacific and the Middle East, but the perspectives on this from Israel and Australia were fundamentally different.<\/p>\n

For Australian policymakers, the world was viewed through the prisms of Chinese power and the partnerships that help manage it, such as AUKUS<\/a>, the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue and a string of other multilateral relationships.<\/p>\n

For Israel, Iran is the wolf nearest the sled and the state that poses an existential risk through its continued nuclear-weapon ambitions and its cultivation, support and direction of violent proxy actors, notably Hamas and Hezbollah. They share the Iranian regime\u2019s desire to obliterate the state of Israel.<\/p>\n

How Beijing relates to Iran, Israel and other important Middle Eastern states is what makes China important to Israel. And how the engagement of the United States and of European powers with Iran and China either empowers or contains Iranian aggression is key here.<\/p>\n

With these different prisms, there\u2019s considerable opportunity for Australians and Israelis to implement policies and strategies that work for each nation and for the two nations collectively. Already, Israel has acted to stop sharing military technology with Beijing because of the now clear trajectory of the policies of the US and other security partners on China under Xi Jinping.<\/p>\n

But the intermingled nature of the China challenge, with its strategic, technological and economic issues, means that things just aren\u2019t that simple, for either Australia or Israel.<\/p>\n

Beijing sees opportunities to expand its presence in the Middle East as the US confronts China more systemically in the Indo-Pacific. This illustrates the abiding dilemma of the US when it seeks to reprioritise and refocus geographically because it raises the prospects of creating pressure points to be used against it elsewhere. That kind of dilemma will become more familiar to China as it seeks more power and influence beyond its immediate region.<\/p>\n

Australian Defence Minister Peter Dutton said geography alone had never determined Australia\u2019s strategic focus and Australia was more secure when Israel was safe behind secure, internationally recognised borders. Dutton observed that the two states were experiencing \u2018grey-zone\u2019 activities falling short of armed conflict but designed to irritate, intimidate and injure. These included cyberattacks, trade interference, campaigns of disinformation, use of paramilitary forces and militarisation of disputed features.<\/p>\n

Australian and Israeli defence officials began strategic talks in 2018, and in 2019 Australia appointed a defence attach\u00e9 in Tel Aviv. The nations had agreed to cooperate closely on cyber issues. \u2018We\u2019re friends, and we\u2019ve always stood together and always will,\u2019 Dutton said.<\/p>\n

Israel\u2019s deputy prime minister and defence minister, Benny Gantz, said the dialogue highlighted strong strategic ties based on shared democratic values and common interests.\u00a0He said there was scope to expand defence cooperation in research and development and in industry and highlighted Australia\u2019s contribution to regional stability through peacekeeping.<\/p>\n

Gantz said Iran was the biggest exporter of terrorism globally and regionally, and its pursuit of nuclear weapons threatened Israel. Iran was expanding its radical ideology, weapons, funding and manpower across the Middle East and he urged the international community to act.<\/p>\n

He noted that Israel was building the city of Be\u2019er Sheva as the Middle Eastern cyber centre and said the more Israel could strengthen its economy and security the more it could expand its relations with regional countries. The minister thanked Australia for supporting the Abraham Accords<\/a> and suggested they should be expanded to additional states.<\/p>\n

Participants discussed how the\u00a0Taliban victory had boosted extremist movements globally. Afghanistan could face increasing internal conflict among the Taliban, Islamic State Khorasan and al-Qaeda-linked groups and become a magnet for foreign fighters who would ultimately seek to rebuild their ability to strike Western targets.<\/p>\n

If the Taliban did consolidate control, it could run its extremist-state version of sharia law, and it could reach into Middle Eastern and Indo-Pacific politics in odd ways. A Taliban state recognising Hamas as the legitimate governing entity in Gaza and the West Bank or recognising violent separatist movements wanting to establish caliphates in Southeast Asia are two examples.<\/p>\n

To Israel, the big winners from the Taliban victory were Pakistan and Iran.<\/p>\n

An\u00a0Australian delegate said the\u00a0motivational boost to Islamist groups wouldn\u2019t automatically translate to strategic momentum unless that was allowed to happen. And Russia, India, China and Iran would all have to focus more time and energy on managing their own interests and their relationships with each other in and around Afghanistan.<\/p>\n

A striking observation about the future of terrorism and extremism that floated across the dialogue was on how the strange partnerships emerging with far-right groups inspired by the Taliban and Islamists were making a more dispersed, interlinked and amorphous threat. Far-right extremists praised the Taliban for their policies and behaviour towards women and celebrated the masculine warrior pictures propagated about Taliban fighters. They saw some parallels with \u2018nativist\u2019 behaviours they want in their own countries.<\/p>\n

While Islamist terrorist violence would remain dangerous and damaging, an increase in far-right terrorist violence was in some ways a harder problem for governments. Some of the rhetoric and narratives they use is close to mainstream political debates and narratives, and they can directly threaten democratic institutions, creating the classic counterterrorism dilemma\u2014how to defend democracy while not allowing terrorism to erode it.<\/p>\n

Even if the level of violence from far-right attacks remains less dangerous than historical mass-casualty attacks, this appropriation of a domestic political narrative or worldview can be divisive and corrosive in democratic societies. The same will be true in a world of increasing violence and extremism over, say, environmental or climate change concerns.<\/p>\n

Israelis welcomed Australia\u2019s listing of Hezbollah<\/a> as a terrorist organisation but expressed concern about what they saw as a rushed attempt by the US to revive the nuclear agreement despite Iran\u2019s belligerence.<\/p>\n

While Australians felt their nation was \u2018the canary in the coalmine\u2019 of China\u2019s coercion, Israelis said they were just beginning to grapple with how China\u2019s superpower status would play out in the Middle East.\u00a0China is Israel\u2019s third biggest trading partner after the US and the EU and has a strong interest in Israeli technology.<\/p>\n

Several delegates said that in Europe, Britain and the US, Xi had driven a shift from a positive to a negative view of China. The development of both the Quad and AUKUS could be credited to him.<\/p>\n

There was concern that China\u2019s power and influence in the Middle East were growing as countries increasingly looked to Beijing as a long-term partner amid perceptions that the US was withdrawing from the region. Almost half of China\u2019s energy needs comes from the region, particularly Iran. It has invested heavily in ports and infrastructure, including a new terminal at Israel\u2019s Haifa port<\/a>, operated by the state-owned Shanghai International Port Group.<\/p>\n

China had\u00a0a strategic ally in Iran, which was using China to bypass sanctions.\u00a0In March, Beijing and Tehran signed a 25-year strategic agreement that\u2019s likely to see China helping to develop Iran\u2019s military capacities. China\u2019s relations with Saudi Arabia and Gulf states are growing.<\/p>\n

Because of concerns in Washington about China\u2019s growing engagement with Israel, Israel has moved its foreign investment vetting committee to the National Security Council, under Prime Minister Naftali Bennett\u2019s control.<\/p>\n

Both delegations were concerned that President Joe Biden was continuing the trend of recent administrations by diminishing the US presence in the Middle East. While Australia was concerned about China, and Israel mainly about Iran, the common\u00a0denominator was doubts about\u00a0America\u2019s staying power.<\/p>\n

It was suggested that Australia should work more closely with Israel in the Pacific islands region, given the goodwill<\/a> there towards Israel.\u00a0Israel could work with Australia<\/a> on water and agriculture projects in the islands and it might establish an incubator for app development. With many blockchain projects and digital currencies<\/a> being developed in the region, Israel could help strengthen e-commerce security systems. The Israel Defense Forces could help train militaries in Papua New Guinea, Fiji and Tonga.<\/p>\n

With the Quad grouping of Australia, India, Japan and the US gaining momentum<\/a> and emphasising critical technologies, Israel could contribute to its work. Israel is already working on critical technologies<\/a> in \u2018another Quad\u2019 with the US, India and the United Arab Emirates.<\/p>\n

The barriers to entry to the Quad are likely to be lower than for AUKUS, which is made up of some members of the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing group. Israel could collaborate with AUKUS in areas such as cybersecurity and artificial intelligence.<\/p>\n

Britain and Israel have agreed<\/a> to deepen ties in areas such as cybersecurity, AI and quantum computing and an AUKUS-plus agreement between Australia and Israel could be based on that model to jointly deliver new capabilities. It would be timely to refresh Australia\u2019s 2017 defence memorandum of understanding with Israel.<\/p>\n

The Australians called for a ministerial meeting soon to set the terms for closer defence and security cooperation and urged Israel to join ASPI\u2019s 2022 Sydney Dialogue<\/a> that\u2019s focused on emerging, critical and cyber technologies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Israel and Australia face rapidly changing security environments with growing militarisation in their regions. Both are targets for terrorist attacks and are trying to meet the challenges of a more belligerent China. Against this reality, …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":69330,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[17,1434,240,549,127],"class_list":["post-69329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-australia","tag-dialogue","tag-israel","tag-strategic-policy","tag-terrorism"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTerrorism and China in focus at Be\u2019er Sheva Dialogue | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/terrorism-and-china-in-focus-at-beer-sheva-dialogue\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Terrorism and China in focus at Be\u2019er Sheva Dialogue | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Israel and Australia face rapidly changing security environments with growing militarisation in their regions. 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