{"id":75809,"date":"2022-10-14T13:30:53","date_gmt":"2022-10-14T02:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=75809"},"modified":"2022-10-14T12:40:12","modified_gmt":"2022-10-14T01:40:12","slug":"the-threat-spectrum-37","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-threat-spectrum-37\/","title":{"rendered":"The threat spectrum"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>\n

Planet A<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last week, at the 41st Assembly of the International Civil Aviation Organization in Montreal, member states agreed<\/a> on a \u2018long-term global aspirational goal\u2019 for aviation of net-zero emissions by 2050, despite opposition from Russia and China.<\/p>\n

The plan is a vital support to the Paris climate agreement\u2019s temperature goal and reinforces the leadership of the ICAO on climate-related issues. According to recent research <\/a>published in Nature<\/em>, by 2050, 90% decarbonisation compared with 2019 is achievable by using ultra-green fuels derived from biomass or clean electricity, along with continued efficiency gains in aircraft and operations.<\/p>\n

Member countries also agreed<\/a> on the use of the \u2018Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation\u2019 to offset those carbon emissions that can\u2019t be reduced or eliminated through technological or operational improvements.<\/p>\n

However, environmental campaigners are critical of the effectiveness of the agreed resolution because of its lack of binding commitments. As a UN body, the ICAO has no authority over national governments and thus can\u2019t impose rules on its members.<\/p>\n

Democracy watch<\/strong><\/p>\n

Burkina Faso has begun the process<\/a> to select a transitional president ahead of potential future elections, following two coups in the country. The first occurred in January and was led by Lieutenant Colonel Paul-Henri Damiba, who deposed President Roch Kabore after six years in power. Damiba cited the inability of the Kabore administration to halt violence attributed to rebel fighters allied to both Islamic State and al-Qaeda. The fighting has killed thousands<\/a> and displaced roughly two million<\/a> people since 2015.<\/p>\n

An escalation in the violence<\/a> since January, and continued clashes between protesters and security forces in September, led to Damiba himself being deposed in a second coup by Captain Ibrahim Traore on 30 September. Leading a faction of disgruntled junior officers, Traore was declared president on 5 October.<\/p>\n

Given ongoing fighting, mass displacement and the fact that nearly a third of the country remains under rebel control<\/a>, the re-establishment of democracy in Burkina Faso is likely to remain difficult despite this announcement.<\/p>\n

Information operations<\/strong><\/p>\n

As campaigning for Brazil\u2019s presidential election continues following the indecisive<\/a> first round between incumbent Jair\u00a0Bolsonaro and contender Luiz In\u00e1cio\u00a0Lula\u00a0da Silva, a breakdown in political discourse is testing the ability of Brazil\u2019s electoral institutions to counter rampant disinformation.<\/p>\n

In the deeply religious country, where 84%<\/a> of people hold that belief in God is necessary to having good moral values, Bolsonaro\u2019s campaign<\/a> has been promoting<\/a> claims that Lula is a Satanist who had \u2018cut a deal with the devil\u2019<\/a>. The Superior Electoral Court determined last week that such material constituted disinformation<\/a> that \u2018compromises the fairness of the electoral process\u2019. On the other side, Lula\u2019s campaign has continued using the tagline<\/a> \u2018Bolsonaro would eat human flesh\u2019 in its political advertising, despite<\/a> the court\u2019s ruling that the cannibalism charge \u2018exceeds the limits of freedom of expression\u2019.<\/p>\n

While the judiciary may be able to restrain further comments by the campaigners, once disinformation narratives have entered the election\u2019s digital pulse there may be little that can be done<\/a> to undo the damage caused.<\/p>\n

Follow the money<\/strong><\/p>\n

Links between transnational organised crime and more than 900 limited liability partnerships set up by just two companies have been uncovered<\/a> in the UK. The companies are both registered at a property in Cardiff, just minutes away from Companies House, the main UK agency overseeing information on companies. LLPs offer greater secrecy than private companies and are favoured by international crime gangs to launder and conceal illicit funds.<\/p>\n

The two companies that established the LLPs were linked to a fraud case in 2009 involving a US$230 million theft of Russian citizens\u2019 money. Moscow lawyer Sergei Magnitsky exposed the fraud, resulting in his arrest, torture and death. It\u2019s believed that much of the money flowing through the UK LLPs relies on lax financial regulations and is stolen from the Russian people.<\/p>\n

The discovery comes as Westminster debates an economic crime and corporate transparency bill<\/a> that proposes new powers<\/a> of oversight for Companies House, including verifying the identities of those setting up firms and flagging suspicious activities to law enforcement.<\/p>\n

Terror byte<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last Friday, Morocco\u2019s foreign minister committed the government to addressing the \u2018complex and transnational<\/a>\u2019 crisis of African terrorism. The speech closely followed Morocco\u2019s accession<\/a> to several subregional counterterrorism cooperation frameworks.<\/p>\n

According to the 2022 Global Terrorism Index<\/a>, 48% of the world\u2019s terror victims reside in sub-Saharan Africa. In 2021<\/a>, more than 7,000 terrorist attacks perpetrated by 27 distinct UN-sanctioned organisations murdered 30,000 Africans, costing the developing continent almost US$200 billion and representing one of the world\u2019s most severe ongoing human security crises.<\/p>\n

Morocco, a nation whose counterterrorism efforts consistently outperform its sub-Saharan neighbours, successfully demonstrated its credentials last week by dismantling<\/a> a suspected Islamic State\u2013linked terror cell. Moroccan security personnel cooperated with Spanish officers in conducting the raid, in which 11 terror suspects<\/a> were arrested.<\/p>\n

Aggressive police operations have been balanced in part by the pardoning of almost 30 prisoners<\/a> convicted of crimes relating to terrorism or extremism, reflecting the nation\u2019s prioritisation<\/a> of rehabilitation as a key tenet of its counterterrorism strategy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Planet A Last week, at the 41st Assembly of the International Civil Aviation Organization in Montreal, member states agreed on a \u2018long-term global aspirational goal\u2019 for aviation of net-zero emissions by 2050, despite opposition from …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1514,"featured_media":75812,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[283,2976,2301,546,127],"class_list":["post-75809","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-climate-change","tag-coup","tag-emissions","tag-organised-crime","tag-terrorism"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe threat spectrum | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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