{"id":79798,"date":"2023-05-18T11:30:53","date_gmt":"2023-05-18T01:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/?p=79798"},"modified":"2023-05-18T11:34:21","modified_gmt":"2023-05-18T01:34:21","slug":"the-threat-spectrum-48","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-threat-spectrum-48\/","title":{"rendered":"The threat spectrum"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>\n

Planet A<\/strong><\/p>\n

Australia\u2019s 2023\u201324 budget<\/a> allocates $4 billion to combat<\/a> the impacts of climate change and turn Australia into a \u2018renewable energy superpower\u2019. The commitments include $2 billion<\/a> in incentives to accelerate the manufacture and export of renewable hydrogen gas and $80.5 million<\/a> in program support to attract and monitor foreign investment in Australia\u2019s diversifying critical minerals sector. These measures highlight the importance of striking the right balance between industry growth and international engagement.<\/p>\n

The budget has been criticised<\/a> for its lack of further funding for climate support in the Pacific. The Australian Defence Force will share in a $1.4 billion package<\/a> to bolster cooperation with Pacific island countries on security infrastructure, maritime security, law enforcement and criminal justice. Only modest amounts will be spent on improving regional architecture and humanitarian relief and disaster preparedness. This suggests that there\u2019s more work to be done as Australia looks to increase its international energy competitiveness and address the threats posed by climate change and other emerging security issues.<\/p>\n

Democracy watch<\/strong><\/p>\n

Thailand\u2019s election produced a strong expression<\/a> of voter discontent reflecting a widespread yearning for change and raising questions about the willingness of the military-backed establishment<\/a> to embrace the sentiment. The election outcome was a political earthquake as prodemocracy parties triumphed over their military-backed counterparts, with the progressive Move Forward party<\/a> leading the pack. The party campaigned on the once-taboo topic of monarchy reform, a bold move in a country with a strict l\u00e8se-majest\u00e9 law<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Given the military\u2019s substantial influence and historical involvement in political affairs, including coups, any interference carries the risk of street violence and instability. The election outcome was a blow to Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha<\/a>, a former coup leader whose popularity has declined.<\/p>\n

Despite Move Forward\u2019s clear majority, the presence of military-appointed senators in the electoral process could hinder<\/a> the formation of a coalition government. The opposition is confronted with multiple challenges<\/a>, including the undemocratic framing of the constitution, the need to form a democratic coalition, and the looming possibility of legal action to invalidate the election results.<\/p>\n

Information operations<\/strong><\/p>\n

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan used a 14-second clip<\/a> during a rally to accuse his rival, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, of colluding with Kurdish militants. The video<\/a> purportedly showed Kilicdaroglu rallying his supporters alongside apparent members of the banned PKK<\/a>. However, it was later revealed that the video was a skilfully edited montage<\/a>, part of the disinformation campaign<\/a> that has plagued this crucial election. In response, Kilicdaroglu, running closely with Erdogan, claimed that foreign hackers recruited by Erdogan’s team were preparing deepfakes and manipulated videos to discredit adversaries before the election.<\/p>\n

This election<\/a> has witnessed the weaponisation of misinformation propagated on social media platforms and counterfeit campaign materials. While the country has enacted legislation<\/a> criminalising the dissemination of fake news, the government hasn\u2019t enforced it<\/a> during the electoral process. The disinformation campaign has intensified polarisation but it is considered unlikely to significantly sway the outcome. The extent of international involvement in spreading disinformation remains uncertain, with local political factions primarily responsible.<\/p>\n

Follow the money<\/strong><\/p>\n

China and Pakistan have agreed to extend<\/a> the Belt and Road initiative to Afghanistan. The decision to include Afghanistan in the multibillion-dollar project and to extend the China\u2013Pakistan Economic Corridor to it, was included in broader commitments to expand trilateral contribution to boost Afghanistan\u2019s reconstruction.<\/p>\n

The BRI\u2019s extension is a win for the Taliban, who have expressed<\/a> their wish to be included, as they struggle to govern a cash-strapped nation and meet its infrastructure needs. Afghanistan\u2019s central bank\u2019s reserves of US$9 billion have been frozen <\/a>since 2021. Meanwhile, the UN has estimated<\/a> that US$4.6 billion is needed to alleviate the dire humanitarian catastrophe unfolding in the nation.<\/p>\n

As other countries continue to debate whether to engage with the Taliban, China is swiftly moving to fill a gap<\/a> left by nations once heavily involved in Afghanistan\u2019s reconstruction. Earlier this year, the Taliban signed an oil-extraction contract<\/a> with a subsidiary of China National Petroleum Corporation, and other Chinese firms have expressed an interest<\/a> in investing in the country\u2019s mineral resources, worth an estimated<\/a> US$1 trillion.<\/p>\n

Terror byte<\/strong><\/p>\n

France\u2019s parliament has unanimously passed a non-binding resolution<\/a> intended to encourage the European Union to register Russia\u2019s Wagner Group on its list of terrorist organisations. In a speech to parliament last week supporting the resolution, MP Benjamin Haddad <\/a>argued that Wagner wasn\u2019t driven by financial motivations and instead followed \u2018a broad strategy, from Mali to Ukraine, of supporting the aggressive policies of President [Vladimir] Putin\u2019s regime\u2019.<\/p>\n

The EU\u2019s terrorist list<\/a>, which is approved by leaders of member countries at regular meetings, comprises 13 people and 21 groups or entities including al-Qaeda and Islamic State. The addition of Wagner Group to the list would allow EU countries to freeze its assets and those of its members. European countries and their citizens would be barred from dealing with the group. Aside from France, the parliaments of Lithuania and Estonia<\/a> have similarly labelled Wagner a terrorist organisation, and the British government is reportedly planning<\/a> to follow suit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Planet A Australia\u2019s 2023\u201324 budget allocates $4 billion to combat the impacts of climate change and turn Australia into a \u2018renewable energy superpower\u2019. The commitments include $2 billion in incentives to accelerate the manufacture and …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1672,"featured_media":79799,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[44,52,3479,1025,251,127,157,747],"class_list":["post-79798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-australian-defence-force","tag-china","tag-critical-minerals","tag-european-union","tag-pakistan","tag-terrorism","tag-thailand","tag-turkey"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe threat spectrum | The Strategist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.ru\/the-threat-spectrum-48\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The threat spectrum | The Strategist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Planet A Australia\u2019s 2023\u201324 budget allocates $4 billion to combat the impacts of climate change and turn Australia into a \u2018renewable energy superpower\u2019. 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